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“First, Do No Harm!” should
be the first rule for all government regulators. Are there any of the
so-called “experts” in the Obama Administration who have thought
about that? Do any of them really have any idea what they’re doing?
Almost anything that any government touches becomes less efficient, less
responsive to the public, and more likely to be looted; why would the bail
out of Wall Street (or AIG or the “Big Three”) be any different?
Why would a disease caused by low interest rates and easy credit be cured by
even lower interest rates and more easy credit?
Any alleged “right” of one man, which necessitates the
violation of the rights of another, is not and cannot be a right. — Ayn
Rand Virtue means doing the right thing, in relation
to the right person, at the right time, to the right extent, in the right
manner, and for the right purpose. Thus, to give money away is quite a simple
task, but for the act to be virtuous, the donor must give to the right
person, for the right purpose, in the right amount, in the right manner, and
at the right time. – Aristotle Real freedom means the least government — government
conspicuous by its absence — with sufficient power only to protect life,
liberty, and property from frauds, thieves, and murderers. Real freedom means
the full right of ownership and to make decisions for one’s self and
one’s family. — John C. Sparks, Behind the Facade [1964] If, from the more wretched parts of the old world, we look at those
which are in an advanced stage of improvement, we still find the greedy hand
of government thrusting itself into every corner and crevice of industry, and
grasping the spoil of the multitude. Invention is continually exercised, to furnish
new pretenses for revenues and taxation. It watches prosperity as its prey
and permits none to escape without tribute. --Thomas Paine, Rights of Man,
1791 I think we have more machinery of government than
is necessary, too many parasites living on the labor of the industrious.
--Thomas Jefferson Credit expansion is the governments’
foremost tool in their struggle against the market economy. In their hands it
is the magic wand designed to conjure away the scarcity of capital goods, to
lower the rate of interest or to abolish it altogether, to finance lavish
government spending, to expropriate the capitalists, to contrive everlasting
booms, and to make everybody prosperous. — Ludwig von Mises, Human Action
[1949] “Be wary of strong drink. It can make you shoot at tax
collectors...and miss.” — Robert Heinlein [my favorite Science
Fiction Author]
“Repeal
that [welfare] law, and you will soon see a change in their manners. St.
Monday and St. Tuesday, will soon cease to be holidays. Six days shalt thou
labor, though one of the old commandments long treated as out of date, will
again be looked upon as a respectable precept; industry will increase, and
with it plenty among the lower people; their circumstances will mend, and
more will be done for their happiness by inuring them to provide for
themselves, than could be done by dividing all your estates among
them.” --Benjamin Franklin, letter to Collinson, 1753 “On every unauthoritative exercise of power by the legislature
must the people rise in rebellion or their silence be construed into a
surrender of that power to them? If so, how many rebellions should we have
had already?” --Thomas Jefferson “Dependence
begets subservience and venality, suffocates the germ of virtue, and prepares
fit tools for the designs of ambition.” --Thomas Jefferson, Notes on
Virginia, Query 19, 1781 “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed,
and hence clamorous to be led to safety, by menacing it with an endless
series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” – H.L. Mencken
Carly Fiorina (left) will unseat Barbara
Boxer (right) in 2010 Barbara
Boxer is the Village Idiot of the Senate and all she offers is an
unwillingness to compromise the “right” of women to kill their
unborn children (that’s what her TV ads said in her last election).
Personally, I think it’s wonderful that liberals kill their unborn
children; that way we have fewer liberals, most of whom are parasites,
anyway. Now, I have just one more question: “Who’s had the most
work done?”
Let me get this straight. Town
Hall Meeting with A Physicist Explains Time Travel for Dummies |
|
8/31/2009: The Daily Reckoning
presents: Over the last century, excessive money creation has become so much
a part of US monetary policy that it’s difficult to remember when our
money was actually worth anything. This week, the Mogambo gives us a little
history lesson...and some of his facts are pretty darn interesting. Read
on... Driving a Fiat Currency into a Tree by The Mogambo Guru Floy Lilley at the Mises Institute, in her
essay at LewRockwell.com, notes
that the gold-standard dollar “provided us with nothing less than
relative peace and prosperity over a span of 136 years” until that
fateful year, 1913. So how does she quantify
“relative peace and security”? Well, one good way is to look at
the value of the dollar, which would be strong if the country was a good
investment, which it was, and in fact, “It had not only retained one
hundred percent of its value, it had gained eleven percent. That’s
right. The dollar we started with in 1776 bought us eleven percent more after
almost seven generations.” Then, on the
“quiet 23rd of December in 1913”, J.P. Morgan and buddies got
Congressional quislings to pass legislation authorizing the creation of the
Federal Reserve, and to which I add that the jerk Woodrow Wilson then signed
it, thus going down in history as the disastrous guy who set in motion the
destruction of the dollar by the Federal Reserve creating excess money and
credit. She doesn’t make a
point of it, but back then, the dollar was still gold, and thanks to the
loathsome Federal Reserve creating the money to finance the bubbles of The
Roaring Twenties that resulted in the Great Depression, the despicable
Supreme Court infamously ruled in 1933 (and upheld by every traitorous
Supreme Court case since then) that, contrary to what the Constitution said,
the dollar did not have to be made of silver or gold, and that a paper
“fiat” currency could be created, without limit, for any reason,
even at a mere whim, anytime, day or night, 24/7, including holidays, not
realizing that they were the idiots that REALLY destroyed the dollar! Gaahhh! With this kind of
disastrous stupidity, I dryly and humorlessly ask that you don’t talk
to me about any “wisdom” emanating from the Supreme Court. I was hoping that Ms.
Lilley would spontaneously pick up on the theme of “heap scorn on the
Federal Reserve for creating too much money and credit out of thin air and
the despicable Supreme Court for letting them.” “...achieving a
‘sound money’ is the easiest thing in the world! Just stop
creating more of it! That’s all you need!” I was going to suggest
that she could, you know, maybe even put in an endorsement for the Mogambo
Mindless Mob (MMM) brand of products, like the popular Mogambo Pitchfork
(very effective when brandished threateningly) and the classic Mogambo
Flaming Torches that will be so hard to get when the proletariat bozos start
forming mindless mobs bent on revenge after so much hurting from the
horrifying inflation in consumer prices, the pervasive, lingering economic
depression, ruination, bankruptcy and the embarrassment of realizing that it
was caused by the people we elected to Congress, who picked the people to run
the Federal Reserve, which is the biggest failure one can imagine and should
be immediately abolished, how Ben Bernanke, its chairman, should be turned
over to me for some sessions at my new Mogambo Re- Education Center, where
our muscular, trained technicians will slap the hell out of his stupid face,
and the stupid faces of Congresspersons (except Ron Pau l), and the stupid
faces of anyone who still believes in getting, or giving, a free lunch to, or
from, anyone, especially the government, which is so corrupt that it once
gave smallpox-infected blankets to the American Indians, which is only
marginally worse than destroying the currency of the country and makes you
reflexively scream in horror every time you see the money supply go up. Well, it does me,
anyway. Instead, she goes on
that the result was that since then, “the purchasing power of a dollar
has plummeted over 95%”, which means that “We now pay twenty
times more than J.P. Morgan did for any item.” Yikes! Suddenly, my ears
pricked up as she said, “Few have written on the mechanics of getting
back to sound money”, which I immediately noticed makes me a genius,
meaning that people should worship my gigantic brain, my wife and kids should
stop calling me “idiot” and saying how much they hate me and
maybe I should get a Nobel Prize. The reason I am suddenly
so enamored of my intellect is that achieving a “sound money” is
the easiest thing in the world! Just stop creating more of it! That’s
all you need! It’s simple! It is my Profound Mogambo Genius (PMG) that
has solved the puzzle! Okay, I am embarrassed
that I got carried away there, and I admit that I am not very smart, and that
is why I stole the whole idea from the fact that this is all the gold
standard did; it prevented increases in the money supply, and the only thing
that Congress had to worry about was doing smart things so that gold came
into the country (increasing our money supply) and not doing something so
stupid that it went someplace else better (decreasing our money supply). But those days are all
over now, and the only people who are buying gold, along with silver and oil,
are the people who know what happens to an unsound, fiat currency (like the
dollar) in the hands of a government composed of a bunch of socialist,
commie-think yahoos (like the US Congress) that willingly deficit-spends
insane amounts of money thanks to a central bank (like the Federal Reserve)
creating it and a population sitting around saying, “Duh! Okay with us!”
Hahaha! We’re freaking
doomed! Until next time, Editor’s Note:
Richard Daughty is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group,
serving the financial and medical communities, and the editor of The Mogambo
Guru economic newsletter – an avocational exercise to heap disrespect
on those who desperately deserve it. May 1978: Inflation in One Page By Henry Hazlitt [More than 30
years later, it seems that Government has not learned anything. Ben Bernanke
knows better, and so does Alan Greenspan, but both have whored themselves to
Leviathan. Power corrupts...] 1.
Inflation is an increase in the quantity of money and credit. Its chief
consequence is soaring prices. Therefore inflation—if we misuse the
term to mean the rising prices themselves—is caused solely by printing
more money. For this the government’s monetary policies are entirely
responsible. 2.
The most frequent reason for printing more money is the existence of an
unbalanced budget. Unbalanced budgets are caused by extravagant expenditures
which the government is unwilling or unable to pay for by raising
corresponding tax revenues. The excessive expenditures are mainly the
result of government efforts to redistribute wealth and income—in
short, to force the productive to support the unproductive. This erodes the
working incentives of both the productive and the unproductive. 3.
The causes of inflation are not, as so often said, “multiple and
complex,” but simply the result of printing too much money. There is no
such thing as “cost-push” inflation. If, without an increase in the
stock of money, wage or other costs are forced up, and producers try to pass
these costs along by raising their selling prices, most of them will merely
sell fewer goods. The result will be reduced output and loss of jobs. Higher
costs can only be passed along in higher selling prices when consumers have
more money to pay the higher prices. 4.
Price controls cannot stop or slow down inflation. They always do harm. Price
controls simply squeeze or wipe out profit margins, disrupt production, and
lead to bottlenecks and shortages. All government price and wage control, or
even “monitoring,” is merely an attempt by the politicians to
shift the blame for inflation on to producers and sellers instead of their
own monetary policies. 5.
Prolonged inflation never “stimulates” the economy. On the
contrary, it unbalances, disrupts, and misdirects production and employment.
Unemployment is mainly caused by excessive wage rates in some industries,
brought about either by extortionate union demands, by minimum wage laws
(which keep teenagers and the unskilled out of jobs), or by prolonged and
over-generous unemployment insurance. 6. To
avoid irreparable damage, the budget must be balanced at the earliest
possible moment, and not in some sweet by-and-by. Balance must be brought
about by slashing reckless spending, and not by increasing a tax burden that
is already undermining incentives and production. 8/31/2009: Sorting Fact From Fiction on Health Care In recent town-hall
meetings, President Barack Obama has called for a national debate on
health-care reform based on facts. It is fact that more than 40 million Americans
lack coverage and spiraling costs are a burden on individuals, families and
our economy. There is broad consensus that these problems must be addressed.
But the public is skeptical that their current clinical care is substandard
and that no government bureaucrat will come between them and their doctor.
Americans have good reason for their doubts—key assertions about gaps
in care are flawed and reform proposals to oversee care could sharply shift
decisions away from patients and their physicians. Consider these myths and
mantras of the current debate: • Americans only receive 55% of recommended care. This
would be a frightening statistic, if it were true. It is not. Yet it was
presented as fact to the Senate Health and Finance Committees, which are writing
reform bills, in March 2009 by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality
(the federal body that sets priorities to improve the nation’s health
care). The statistic comes from
a flawed study published in 2003 by the Rand Corporation. That study was
suppose to be based on telephone interviews with 13,000 Americans in 12
metropolitan areas followed up by a review of each person’s medical
records and then matched against 439 indicators of quality health practices.
But two-thirds of the people contacted declined to participate, making the
study biased, by Rand’s own admission. To make matters worse, Rand had
incomplete medical records on many of those who participated and could not
accurately document the care that these patients received. For example, Rand found
that only 15% of the patients had received a flu vaccine based on available
medical records. But when asked directly, 85% of the patients said that they
had been vaccinated. Most importantly, there were no data that indicated
whether following the best practices defined by Rand’s experts made any
difference in the health of the patients. In March 2007, a team of
Harvard researchers published a study in the New England Journal of Medicine
that looked at nearly 10,000 patients at community health centers and
assessed whether implementing similar quality measures would improve the
health of patients with three costly disorders: diabetes, asthma and
hypertension. It found that there was no improvement in any of these three
maladies. Dr. Rodney Hayward, a
respected health-services professor at the University of Michigan, wrote
about this negative result, “It sounds terrible when we hear that 50
percent of recommended care is not received, but much of the care recommended
by subspecialty groups is of a modest or unproven value, and mandating
adherence to these recommendations is not necessarily in the best interest of
patients or society.” • The World Health Organization ranks the U.S. 37th In the
world in quality. This is another frightening
statistic. It is also not accurate. Yet the head of the National Committee
for Quality Assurance, a powerful organization influencing both the
government and private insurers in defining quality of care, has stated this
as fact. The World Health
Organization ranks the U.S. No. 1 among all countries in
“responsiveness.” Responsiveness has two components: respect for
persons (including dignity, confidentiality and autonomy of individuals and
families to make decisions about their own care), and client orientation (including
prompt attention, access to social support networks during care, quality of
basic amenities and choice of provider). This is what Americans rightly
understand as quality care and worry will be lost in the upheaval of reform.
Our country’s composite score fell to 37 primarily because we lack
universal coverage and care is a financial burden for many citizens. • We need to implement “best practices.” Mr.
Obama and his advisers believe in implementing “best practices”
that physicians and hospitals should follow. A federal commission would
identify these practices. On June 24, 2009, the
president appeared on “Good Morning America” with Diane Sawyer.
When Ms. Sawyer asked whether “best practices” would be
implemented by “encouragement” or “by law,” the president
did not answer directly. He said that he was confident doctors “want to
engage in best practices” and “patients are going to insist on
it.” The president also said there should be financial incentives to
“allow doctors to do the right thing.” There are domains of
medicine where a patient has no control and depends on the physician and the
hospital to provide best practices. Strict protocols have been developed to
prevent infections during procedures and to reduce the risk of surgical
mishaps. There are also emergency situations like a patient arriving in the
midst of a heart attack where standardized advanced treatments save many
lives. But once we leave safety
measures and emergency therapies where patients have scant say, what is
“the right thing”? Data from clinical studies provide averages
from populations and may not apply to individual patients. Clinical studies
routinely exclude patients with more than one medical condition and often the
elderly or people on multiple medications. Conclusions about what works and
what doesn’t work change much too quickly for policy makers to dictate
clinical practice. An analysis from the
Ottawa Health Research Institute published in the Annals of Internal Medicine
in 2007 reveals how long it takes for conclusions derived from clinical
studies about drugs, devices and procedures to become outdated. Within one
year, 15 of 100 recommendations based on the “best evidence” had
to be significantly reversed; within two years, 23 were reversed, and at 5
1/2 years, half were contradicted. Americans have witnessed these reversals
firsthand as firm “expert” recommendations about the benefits of
estrogen replacement therapy for postmenopausal women, low fat diets for
obesity, and tight control of blood sugar were overturned. Even when experts
examine the same data, they can come to different conclusions. For example,
millions of Americans have elevated cholesterol levels and no heart disease.
Guidelines developed in the U.S. about whom to treat with
cholesterol-lowering drugs are much more aggressive than guidelines in the
European Union or the United Kingdom, even though experts here and abroad are
extrapolating from the same scientific studies. An illuminating publication
from researchers in Munich, Germany, published in March 2003 in the Journal
of General Internal Medicine showed that of 100 consecutive patients seen in
their clinic with high cholesterol, 52% would be treated with a statin drug
in the U.S. based on our guidelines while only 26% would be prescribed
statins in Germany and 35% in the U.K. So, different experts define
“best practice” differently. Many prominent American
cardiologists and specialists in preventive medicine believe the U.S.
guidelines lead to overtreatment and the Europeans are more sensible. After hearing
of this controversy, some patients will still want to take the drug and some
will not. This is how doctors and
patients make shared decisions—by considering expert guidelines,
weighing why other experts may disagree with the guidelines, and then customizing
the therapy to the individual. With respect to “best practices,”
prudent doctors think, not just follow, and informed patients consider and
then choose, not just comply. • No government bureaucrat will come between you and your
doctor. The president has repeatedly stated this in
town-hall meetings. But his proposal to provide financial incentives to
“allow doctors to do the right thing” could undermine this
promise. If doctors and hospitals are rewarded for complying with government mandated
treatment measures or penalized if they do not comply, clearly federal
bureaucrats are directing health decisions. Further, at the AMA
convention in June 2009, the president proposed linking protection for
physicians from malpractice lawsuits if they strictly adhered to
government-sponsored treatment guidelines. We need tort reform, but this is
misconceived and again clearly inserts the bureaucrat directly into clinical
decision making. If doctors are legally protected when they follow government
mandates, the converse is that doctors risk lawsuits if they deviate from
federal guidelines—even if they believe the government mandate is not
in the patient’s best interest. With this kind of legislation,
physicians might well pressure the patient to comply with treatments even if
the therapy clashes with the individual’s values and preferences. The devil is in the
regulations. Federal legislation is written with general principles and
imperatives. The current House bill H.R. 3200 in title IV, part D has very
broad language about identifying and implementing best practices in the
delivery of health care. It rightly sets initial priorities around measures
to protect patient safety. But the bill does not set limits on what
“best practices” federal officials can implement. If it becomes
law, bureaucrats could well write regulations mandating treatment measures
that violate patient autonomy. Private insurers are
already doing this, and both physicians and patients are chafing at their
arbitrary intervention. As Congress works to extend coverage and contain
costs, any legislation must clearly codify the promise to preserve for
Americans the principle of control over their health-care decisions. —Dr. Groopman, a
staff writer for the New Yorker, and Dr. Hartzband are on the staff of Beth
Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston and on the faculty of Harvard
Medical School. Printed in The Wall
Street Journal, page A13 8/31/2009:
Technology Can Fight Global Warming
By Bjørn Lomborg [Assuming “Global
Warming” is happening, which I seriously doubt (I’ve seen no
compelling evidence either way), Lomborg’s is a more rational approach.
Those who promote “Cap & Trade” and other command and control
approaches are really just looking for another source of tax revenue and more
control over our lives. Moreover, Al Gore is nothing more than a (now very
rich) con artist.] We have precious little
to show for nearly 20 years of efforts to prevent global warming. Promises in
Rio de Janeiro in 1992 to cut carbon emissions went unfulfilled. Stronger
pledges in Kyoto five years later failed to keep emissions in check. The only
possible lesson is that agreements to reduce carbon emissions are costly,
politically arduous and ultimately ineffective. But this is a lesson
many are hell-bent on ignoring, as politicians plan to gather
again—this time in Copenhagen, Denmark, in December—to negotiate
a new carbon-emissions treaty. Even if they manage to bridge their
differences and sign a deal, there is a strong likelihood that
tomorrow’s politicians will fail to deliver. Global warming does not
just require action; it requires effective action. Otherwise we are just
squandering time. To inform the debate, the
Copenhagen Consensus Center has commissioned research looking at the costs
and benefits of all the policy options. For example, internationally renowned
climate economist Richard Tol of Ireland’s Economic and Social Research
Institute finds that a low carbon tax of $2 a metric ton is the only carbon
reduction policy that would make economic sense. But his research
demonstrates the futility of trying to use carbon cuts to keep temperature
increases under two degrees Celsius, which many argue would avoid the worst
of climate change’s impacts. Some economic models
find that target impossible to reach without drastic action, like cutting the
world population by a third. Other models show that achieving the target by a
high CO2 tax would reduce world GDP a staggering 12.9% in 2100—the
equivalent of $40 trillion a year. Some may claim that
global warming will be so terrible that a 12.9% reduction in GDP is a small
price to pay. But consider that the majority of economic models show that
unconstrained global warming would cost rich nations around 2% of GDP and
poor countries around 5% by 2100. Even those figures are
an overstatement. A group of climate economists at the University of Venice
led by Carlo Carraro looked closely at how people will adapt to climate
change. Their research for the Copenhagen Consensus Center showed that
farmers in areas with less water for agriculture could use more drip
irrigation, for example, while those with more water will grow more crops. Taking a variety of
natural, so-called market adaptations into account, the Carraro research
shows we will acclimatize to the negative impacts of global warming and
exploit the positive changes, actually creating 0.1% increase in GDP in 2100
among the member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development. In poor countries, market adaptation will reduce climate
change-related losses to 2.9% of GDP. This remains a significant, negative
effect. The real challenge of global warming lies in tackling its impact on
the Third World. Yet adaptation has other benefits. If we prepare societies
for more ferocious hurricanes in the future, we also help them to cope better
with today’s extreme weather. This does not mean,
however, that we should ignore rising greenhouse-gas emissions. Research for
the Copenhagen Consensus Center by Claudia Kemfert of German Institute for
Economic Research in Berlin shows that in terms of reducing climate damage,
reducing methane emissions is cheaper than reducing C02 emissions,
and—because methane is a much shorter-lived gas—its mitigation
could do a lot to prevent some of the worst of short-term warming. Other
research papers highlight the advantages of planting more trees and
protecting the forests we have to absorb C02 and cut greenhouse gases. Other more speculative
approaches deserve consideration. In groundbreaking research, J. Eric Bickel,
an economist and engineer at the University of Texas, and Lee Lane, a
researcher at the American Enterprise Institute, study the costs and benefits
of climate engineering. One proposal would have boats spray seawater droplets
into clouds above the sea to make them reflect more sunlight back into
space—augmenting the natural process where evaporating ocean sea salt
helps to provide tiny particles for clouds to form around. Remarkably, Mr. Bickel
finds that about $9 billion spent developing this so-called marine cloud
whitening technology might be able to cancel out this century’s global
warming. The benefits—from preventing the temperature
increase—would add up to about $20 trillion. Climate engineering
raises ethical concerns. But if we care most about avoiding warmer
temperatures, we cannot avoid considering a simple, cost-effective approach
that shows so much promise. Nothing short of a
technological revolution is required to end our reliance on fossil
fuel—and we are not even close to getting this revolution started.
Economists Chris Green and Isabel Galiana from McGill University point out
that non-fossil sources like nuclear, wind, solar and geothermal energy
will—based on today’s availability—get us less than halfway
toward a path of stable carbon emissions by 2050, and only a tiny fraction of
the way towards stabilization by 2100. A high carbon tax will
simply hurt growth if alternative technology is not ready, making us all
worse off. Mr. Green proposes that policy makers abandon carbon-reduction
negotiations and make agreements to seriously invest in research and
development. Mr. Green’s research suggests that investing about $100
billion annually in non-carbon-based-energy research could result in
essentially stopping global warming within a century or so. A technology-led effort
would have a much greater chance of actually tackling climate change. It
would also have a much greater chance of political success, since countries
that fear signing on to costly emission targets are more likely to embrace
the cheaper, smarter path of innovation. Cutting emissions of
greenhouse gases is not the only answer to global warming. This week, a group
of Nobel Laureate economists will gather at Georgetown University to consider
all of the new research and identify the solutions that are most effective.
Hopefully, their results will influence debate and help shift decision makers
away from a narrow focus on one, deeply flawed response to global warming. Our generation will not
be judged on the brilliance of our rhetoric about global warming, or on the
depth of our concern. We will be judged on whether or not we stop the
suffering that global warming will cause. Politicians need to stop promising
the moon, and start looking at the most effective ways to help planet Earth. —Mr. Lomborg
teaches at the Copenhagen Business School and is director of the Copenhagen
Consensus Center. He is the author of “Cool It: The Skeptical
Environmentalist’s Guide to Global Warming. “Printed in The
Wall Street Journal Europe, page 14 8/31/2009:
Health-Care Secrets U.S. President Barack
Obama has promised a “new era of transparency” in Washington, so
perhaps he should talk to the Senate about getting with his program. On July
15, six weeks ago, the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee
passed an amended $1 trillion health-care bill, with acting Chairman Chris
Dodd calling it a “historic achievement.” Too bad the committee
won’t reveal this history even to other Senators, much less to the
public. Three weeks ago
Republicans on the committee wrote Mr. Dodd “to reiterate our request
for a full copy of the bill as amended, in the four-week mark-up.” Mr.
Dodd has refused to comply. The Senate bill that is available on the
committee Web site is 790 pages long. While that is some 300 pages shorter
than the House health bill, that’s in part because it doesn’t
include nearly 200 amendments that passed when the committee redrafted the
bill. Amended sections of the bill might as well be written in invisible ink. The whole process was so
haphazard that at one point during the committee mark-up Barbara Mikulski,
the Democrat from Maryland, declared: “Giving me language on little
pieces of paper on which I’m going to commit the sacred fortunes and
honor of the United States for decades, this is not the way to go. We
can’t do this on the backs of envelopes.” We called Mr.
Dodd’s committee office last week to ask why the bill isn’t
posted, and a spokesman explained that it is still being “worked
on.” Will it be ready by October? “Don’t count on
it,” the staffer said. Meanwhile, President
Obama has been saying that critics are “misrepresenting” his
proposals. But who’s to know what’s reality and what’s a
myth when the public and Members of Congress aren’t able to read a bill
that would restructure one-seventh of the U.S. economy. We don’t have
any idea what the bill will cost or how many people it will provide insurance
for, because the Congressional Budget Office can’t score it. No wonder
the American public is increasingly skeptical of this entire exercise. Printed in The Wall
Street Journal Europe, page 13 8/30/2009:
One Long Shot to Watch by
George Will SAN DIEGO -- The most
ominous domestic event of the 1970s was the collapse of self-government in
New York City, which before being put into receivership by the state was
liberalism’s laboratory. Since then, California has been the slate on
which liberalism boldly writes its recipe for decline -- high taxes, heavy
regulation, subservience to public employees unions and environmentalism that
is simultaneously apocalyptic and chiliastic. Because
California’s calamitous present -- creative accounting as a rickety
bridge to the next budget crisis, coming soon -- might prefigure the nation’s
future, next year’s gubernatorial election is portentous. An especially
intriguing candidate in a colorful field is Tom Campbell. Colorful he is not.
“Talk softly and carry a small calculator” could be his motto.
What glitter, however, are his resume and agenda. He has a Harvard law
degree and a doctorate in economics from the University of Chicago, where his
faculty adviser was Milton Friedman. He clerked for Supreme Court Justice
Byron White. Working in the Reagan administration in 1983, in the wake of a
severe recession, he assumed Reagan would lose in 1984 (“proof of my
political acumen,” he says; Reagan carried 49 states) and accepted a
professorship at Stanford’s law school. He represented Silicon Valley
in Congress for five terms. He unsuccessfully sought the Republican
nomination for Senate in 1992. He won the nomination in 2000 but lost the
election. His third statewide run might work because, after Arnold
Schwarzenegger’s childlike faith in personality as the conqueror of
problems, blandness may be charismatic. There is no
constitutional mechanism to do for California what the state of New York did
for New York City in 1975 -- transfer to an improvised authority
responsibility for problems the political process cannot solve. But having
been California’s financial director in 2004-05, Campbell believes
politics can restore something like the “Gann limit,” a
constitutional provision that, from 1979 to 1989 (California’s
malleable Constitution only intermittently constitutes), limited annual spending
by a formula based on inflation and population growth. He favors resetting the
budget cycle so that the state would accumulate one year’s revenues to
be spent the following year, when precise knowledge would replace wishful
thinking about available revenues. He would aggressively use the line-item
veto by which governors can reduce as well as eliminate particular spending
items. He thinks Berkeley and UCLA are providing an education comparable to
Stanford’s and should be priced accordingly, with higher tuition and
compensating scholarships for the needy. He favors a
constitutional convention to reform the initiative process by forcing
proponents of particular propositions to stipulate the taxes they would raise
or programs they would cut to pay for their measures. But only if a
convention can be limited to specific changes stipulated in advance. He knows
that the 1787 Constitutional Convention, which was called to merely revise
the Articles of Confederation, scrapped them up and started fresh. Campbell’s two
rivals for the Republican nomination -- former eBay CEO Meg Whitman and
another tech entrepreneur, Steve Poizner, currently California’s
insurance commissioner -- are rich. Campbell is a professor. Whoever wins the
nomination, he says, will quickly become flush with funds. Yes, but you
cannot steal first base in politics either. How can he be nominated? Like this, he says: Gray
Davis, a professional politician of modest means, won the Democratic
nomination in 1998 when two rich opponents nullified each other with media
bombardments. Republicans are a shriveling tribe: Their registration is at a
record low 31.1 percent, and they do not have a majority of registered voters
in any of California’s 53 congressional districts. Democrats have a
registration majority in 20 districts, and a statewide registration advantage
of more than 2 million and growing. But the fastest-growing cohort of voters
are independents who can vote in either party’s primary. Campbell believes
he is energizing them inexpensively by buying lists of likely voters (who
have voted in four of the last five elections), inviting 150,000 to call in
to an enormous conference call, and discussing issues for 90 minutes with the
20,000 who do. If nominated, Campbell
will face either the once-exotic but still canny Jerry Brown, who will be 72
and perhaps familiar to a fault, or Gavin Newsom, 41, San Francisco’s
dashing and evidently delusional mayor whose campaign suggests that the
bankrupt state’s biggest problem is its denial of same-sex marriage. If
Campbell is nominated, he can win, but if Californians were sufficiently
rational to nominate him, their state would not be shambolic. 8/28/2009:
The Diet COLA Myth AARP and other
self-styled senior lobbies are raising a ruckus over the news that in 2010,
for the first time in 35 years, Social Security recipients won’t be
getting a cost of living increase in their monthly checks. Members of
Congress are calling for an investigation into the way COLAs are calculated.
But the only real scandal here is the opposite of what Congress, the press
and AARP are moaning about. The recent fall in prices has served up a
windfall for seniors and a real $600 average increase in their Social
Security payments this year. There will be no COLA
increase this year because consumer prices have been level or even falling.
In the past nine months, the consumer price index—the official measure
of the cost of living—has fallen by 2.3%, meaning the real purchasing
power of a Social Security check has risen. How is this bad for seniors? In
the 1970s we were told that inflation robs seniors more than most because
they live on fixed incomes. Now we’re told grandma suffers from no
inflation. Most seniors will have
to pay about $2 a month more next year because of an increase in Medicare
drug coverage premiums that are withheld from Social Security checks. But
this is dwarfed by the Social Security windfall over the past 12 months that
resulted from a 5.8% COLA increase awarded for 2009. This was an overpayment
for sure. Prices rose by nearly 6% through August of 2008, but then inflation
fell in last year’s fourth quarter as energy prices crashed. Prices have been roughly
flat since that time according to the government’s calculations. By
January of this year, says Andrew Biggs, the deputy commissioner of Social
Security under President George W. Bush, “Social Security benefits were
about 4.3% higher this year than needed to maintain constant purchasing
power.” He figures that because the average Social Security check is
$1,160 a month, the typical senior received a $516 bonus above inflation this
year. Thanks to a “hold
harmless” law that prohibits Medicare premiums for Part B from rising
in any year that there is no Social Security COLA, the vast majority of
seniors will be exempt from higher premiums next year. This premium freeze
means that most seniors will get an additional subsidy from general
taxpayers, because Medicare’s premiums are supposed to cover 25% of the
program’s expenses. To keep premiums at 25% of expenses would have
required another $96 a year payment per Medicare recipient. Add all of this
up and seniors have received roughly a $612 per person benefit
increase—and yet AARP wants more. Like most Americans in
this recession, seniors are struggling to maintain their standard of living.
Their retirement savings have been hit especially hard by the stock market
plunge, and they’ve lost income on their savings accounts and Treasury
bills from the plunge in interest rates. There are plenty of people in
Washington to blame, but the people who calculate COLAs aren’t among them. 8/28/2009:
from Best of the Web: The quote that is the
title for this item is, jaw-droppingly, attributed to the late Sen. Edward
Kennedy. Ed Klein, a former editor at Newsweek and the New York Times and
author of “Ted Kennedy: The Dream That Never Died” and other
Kennedy books, was reminiscing on “The Diane Rehm Show,” on
Washington’s WAMU-FM, when he said the following (transcript by Ed
Morrissey): I don’t know if you know this or not, but
one of his favorite topics of humor was indeed Chappaquiddick itself. And he
would ask people, “have you heard any new jokes about
Chappaquiddick?” That is just the most amazing thing. It’s not
that he didn’t feel remorse about the death of Mary Jo Kopechne, but
that he still always saw the other side of everything and the ridiculous side
of things, too. Observes blogger Jules
Crittenden: “I gather it was a self-deprecating maneuver on
Kennedy’s part, exercised with the famous Kennedy charm, though it
sounds like one of those ‘I guess you had to have been there’
things.” Meanwhile, Melissa
Lafsky, “ex-lawyer, blogger, writer,” has a much-discussed
Puffington Host post titled “The Footnote Speaks: What Would Mary Jo
Kopechne Have Thought of Ted’s Career?” The headline is misleading;
Mary Jo Kopechne could not be reached for comment. But Lafsky offers the
following speculation: We don’t know how much Kennedy was affected
by her death, or what she’d have thought about arguably being a
catalyst for the most successful Senate career in history. What we
don’t know, as always, could fill a Metrodome. Still, ignorance doesn’t preclude a right
to wonder. So it doesn’t automatically make someone (aka, me) a
Limbaugh-loving, aerial-wolf-hunting NRA troll for asking what Mary Jo
Kopechne would have had to say about Ted’s death, and what she’d
have thought of the life and career that are being (rightfully) heralded. Who knows--maybe she’d feel it was worth
it. One does get the sense
that a certain type of liberal regards women as expendable. 8/27/2009:
The main issue in present-day political struggles is whether society should
be organized on the basis of private ownership of the means of production
(capitalism, the market system) or on the basis of public control of the
means of production (socialism, communism, planned economy). Capitalism means free enterprise, sovereignty of
the consumers in economic matters, and sovereignty of the voters in political
matters. Socialism means full government control of every sphere of the
individual’s life and the unrestricted supremacy of the government in
its capacity as central board of production management. There is no
compromise possible between these two systems. Contrary to popular fallacy
there is no middle way, no third system possible as a pattern of a permanent
social order. The citizens must choose between capitalism and socialism or,
as many Americans say, between the American and the Russian way of life.
— Ludwig von Mises, Bureaucracy [1944] 8/26/2009:
Congress’s
Death Cult (from Best of the Web) Back in March, the
Democratic National Committee was indignant: “Today Rush Limbaugh yet
again crossed the line saying: by the time the debate on President
Obama’s health care plan is over, ‘it’ll be called the Ted
Kennedy Memorial Health Care bill.’ It is outrageous to demonize a
patriotic Senator who has spent his life fighting so that every person has
the opportunity to live the American dream.” “Tell Republican
Party Chairman Michael Steele to denounce Rush Limbaugh once and for
all,” the DNC urged its followers. It’s not clear what it means
to “denounce” someone “once and for all,” but
whatever. We’re guessing
Limbaugh’s prediction (which you can hear courtesy of MediaMutters) was
intended in a jocular vein, but it is now coming true, as Politico reports: Ailing Senator Robert Byrd, one of only two to
have served longer than Kennedy, suggests in an emotional statement renaming
the pending health care legislation for the late Massachusetts Senator: “In his honor and as a tribute to his
commitment to his ideals, let us stop the shouting and name calling and have
a civilized debate on health care reform which I hope, when legislation has
been signed into law, will bear his name for his commitment to insuring the
health of every American.” Agence France-Presse
reports that the leader of the lower chamber is echoing the sentiment: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi vowed Wednesday to
push through embattled health reform legislation this year following the
death of Senator Ted Kennedy, who called the effort “the cause of my
life”. “Ted Kennedy’s dream of quality
health care for all Americans will be made real this year because of his
leadership and his inspiration,” Pelosi said in a statement. Byrd and Pelosi propose
to brush aside the public revolt against ObamaCare, seize control over
one-sixth of the economy, and give government life-or-death powers over all
Americans--all so that they can pay tribute to their dead colleague.
Haven’t they heard of a nonbinding resolution? Ted Kennedy was not a
cult leader. He was a lawmaker, democratically elected to represent his
constituents. It’s hard to imagine anything more outrageously
self-indulgent than for his erstwhile colleagues to pay tribute to him by
imposing on everyone an expensive, unpopular and potentially deadly scheme of
social control. Could Washington be more out of touch? 8/26/2009:
Last
of the Kennedy Mob...er, Dynasty As soon as his cancer
was detected, I noticed an immediate attempt at the “canonization”
of old Teddy Kennedy by the mainstream media. They are saying what a
“great American” he is. I say, let’s get a couple things
clear and not twist the facts to change the real history. 1. He was caught
cheating at Harvard when he attended it. He was expelled twice, once for
cheating on a test, and once for paying a classmate to cheat for him. 2. While expelled,
Kennedy enlisted in the Army, but mistakenly signed up for four years instead
of two. Oops! The man can’t count to four! His father, Joseph P.
Kennedy, former U.S. Ambassador to England (a step up from bootlegging liquor
into the US from Canada during prohibition [imho: this was one of the more honorable things
old man Kennedy did]), pulled the necessary
strings to have his enlistment shortened to two years, and to ensure that he
served in Europe, not Korea , where a war was raging. No preferential
treatment for him! (like he charged that President Bush received). 3. Kennedy was assigned
to Paris, never advanced beyond the rank of Private, and returned to Harvard
upon being discharged. Imagine a person of his “education” NEVER
advancing past the rank of Private! 4. While attending law
school at the University of Virginia, he was cited for reckless driving four
times, including once when he was clocked driving 90 miles per hour in a
residential neighborhood with his headlights off after dark.. Yet his
Virginia driver’s license was never revoked. 5. In 1964, he was
seriously injured in a plane crash and hospitalized for several months. Test
results done by the hospital at the time he was admitted had shown he was
legally intoxicated. The results of those tests remained a “state
secret” until in the 1980’s when the report was unsealed.
Didn’t hear about that from the unbiased media, did we? 6. On July 19, 1969,
Kennedy attended a party on Chappaquiddick Island in Massachusetts . At about
11:00 PM, he borrowed his chauffeur’s keys to his Oldsmobile limousine
and offered to give a ride home to Mary Jo Kopechne, a campaign worker.
Leaving the island via an unlit bridge with no guard rail, Kennedy steered
the car off the bridge, flipped, and into Poucha Pond. 7. He swam to shore and
walked back to the party passing several houses and a fire station. Two
friends then returned with him to the scene of the accident. According to
their later testimony, they told him what he already knew - that he was
required by law to immediately report the accident to the authorities.
Instead Kennedy made his way to his hotel, called his lawyer, and went to
sleep. Kennedy called the police the next morning and by then the wreck had
already been discovered. Before dying Kopechne had scratched at the
upholstered floor above her head in the upside-down car. The Kennedy family began
“calling in favors”, ensuring that any inquiry would be
contained. Her corpse was whisked out-of-state to her family before an
autopsy could be conducted. Further details are
uncertain, but after the accident Kennedy says he repeatedly dove under the
water trying to rescue Kopechne and he didn’t call police because he
was in a state of shock. It is widely assumed Kennedy was drunk, and he held
off calling police in hopes that his family could fix the problem overnight.
Since the accident Kennedy’s “political enemies” have
referred to him as the distinguished Senator from Chappaquiddick. He pleaded
guilty to leaving the scene of an accident, and was given a SUSPENDED
SENTENCE OF TWO MONTHS. Kopechne’s family
received a small payout from the Kennedy’s insurance policy and never
sued. There was later an effort to have her body exhumed and autopsied, but
her family successfully fought against this in court, and Kennedy’s
family paid their attorney’s bills.... a “token of friendship”? 8. Kennedy has held his
Senate seat for more than forty years, but considering his longevity, his
accomplishments seem scant. He authored or argued for legislation that
ensured a variety of civil rights, increased the minimum wage in 1981, made
access to health care easier for the indigent, funded Meals on Wheels for
fixed-income seniors, and is widely held as the “standard-bearer for
liberalism”. In his very first Senate roll he was the floor manager for
the bill that turned U.S. immigration policy upside down and opened the
floodgate for immigrants from third world countries. 9. Since that time, he
has been the prime instigator and author of every expansion of an increase in
immigration up to and including the latest attempt to grant amnesty to
illegal aliens. Not to mention the pious grilling he gave the last two
Supreme Court nominees, as if he was the standard bearer for the nation in
matters of “what is right” What a pompous ass! 10. He is known around
Washington as a public drunk, loud, boisterous, and very disrespectful to
ladies. JERK is a better description than “great American”.
“A blonde in every pond” is his motto. Let’s not allow
the spin doctors to make this jerk a hero -- how quickly the American public
forgets what his real legacy is. Send this on, as a lot
of younger people don’t have a clue about all of this, and us older
ones tend to forget things that happened so many years ago. 8/26/2009:
What Will They Learn? by
Walter E. Williams When parents plunk down
$20, $30, $40 and maybe $50 thousand this fall for a year’s worth of
college room, board and tuition, it might be relevant to ask: What will their
children learn in return? The American Council of Trustees and Alumni (ACTA)
ask that question in their recently released publication, “What Will
They Learn: A Report on the General Education Requirements at 100 of the
Nation’s Leading Colleges and Universities.” ACTA conducted research
to see whether 100 major institutions require seven key subjects: English
composition, literature, foreign language, U.S. government or history,
economics, mathematics and science. What ACTA found was found was alarming,
reporting that “Even as our students need broad-based skills and knowledge
to succeed in the global marketplace, our colleges and universities are
failing to deliver. Topics like U.S. government or history, literature,
mathematics, and economics have become mere options on far too many campuses.
Not surprisingly, students are graduating with great gaps in their knowledge
-- and employers are noticing.” The National Center for
Education Statistics reports that only 31 percent of college graduates can
read and understand a complex book. Employers complain that graduates of colleges
lack the writing and analytical skills necessary to succeed in the workplace.
A 2006 survey conducted by The Conference Board, Corporate Voices for Working
Families, the Partnership for 21st Century Skills, and the Society for Human
Resource Management found that only 24 percent of employers thought graduates
of four-year colleges were “excellently prepared” for entry-level
positions. College seniors perennially fail tests of their civic and
historical knowledge. The American Council of
Trustees and Alumni graded the 100 surveyed colleges and universities on
their general education requirements. Forty-two institutions received a
“D” or an “F” for requiring two or fewer subjects.
Twenty-five of them received an “F” for requiring one or no
subjects. No institution required all seven. Five institutions received an
“A” for requiring six general education subjects. They were
Brooklyn College of the City University of New York, Texas A&M,
University of Arkansas (Fayetteville), United States Military Academy (West
Point) and University of Texas at Austin. Twenty institutions received a
“C” for requiring three subjects and 33 received a
“B” for requiring four or five subjects. ACTA maintains a website
keeping the tally at Whatwilltheylearn.com. ACTA says that “paying
a lot doesn’t get you a lot.” Generally, the higher the tuition,
the less likely there are rigorous general education requirements. Average
tuition and fees at the 11 schools that require no subjects is $37,700;
however, average tuition at the five schools that require six subjects is
$5,400. Average tuition fees at the top national universities and liberal
arts colleges are $35,000 (average grade is “F”). Dishonest and
manipulative college administrators might try to rebut the report saying,
“We have general education requirements.” At one major state
university, students may choose from over 100 different classes to meet a
history requirement. At other colleges, students may satisfy general
education requirements with courses such as “Introduction to Popular TV
and Movies” and “Science of Stuff.” Still other colleges
allow the study of “Bob Dylan” to meet a literature requirement
and “Floral Art” to meet a natural science requirement. ACTA’s report
concludes by saying that a coherent core reflects, in the words of federal
judge Jose Cabranes, “a series of choices -- the choice of the lasting
over the ephemeral; the meritorious over the meretricious; the
thought-provoking over the merely self-affirming.” A general education
curriculum, when done well, is one that helps students “ensure that
their studies -- and their lives -- are well-directed.” ACTA says that a recent
study reports that 89 percent of institutions surveyed said they were in the
process of modifying or assessing their programs. What these and other
institutions need is for boards of trustees, parents and alumni to provide
the necessary incentive to administrators and there’s little more
effective in opening the closed minds of administrators than the sounds of
pocketbooks snapping shut. 8/26/2009:
Senator Edward Kennedy, 77,
Dies [finally] U.S. Senator Edward
Kennedy, a major figure in the Democratic Party who took the helm of one of
America’s most fabled political families after two older brothers were
assassinated, died late on Tuesday, CNN said. He was 77. [When reached for
comment, Mary Jo Kopechne said only, “40 years too late”] [A number of people have
been calling for his resignation; he finally did the right thing...perhaps
for the first time in his life. Before the emergence of Obama on the national
scene (maybe this is why Kennedy endorsed him) no individual so epitomized
the stupidity and evil of socialism, uh, modern liberalism than Ted
“the drunk given a liver transplant at the expense of someone
else’s life” Kennedy. May his passing prove fatal to all of
Obama’s socialist ambitions.] “...any
man’s death diminishes me, because I am involved in Mankind...”
-- John Donne [nah...not Ted Kennedy who, like most of his family, was a
life-long parasite on the buttocks of humanity. May he rot in Hell; he
deserves no less.] 8/26/2009:
Sen. Edward Kennedy Dies After
Battle With Cancer Sen. Edward Kennedy, a
liberal icon and frequent Republican target who was one of the
longest-serving and most accomplished [sic] lawmakers of the modern era, died
at age 77. In nearly five decades
in the Senate, Mr. Kennedy fathered legislation that affected millions,
tackling, among other things, education in the 1960s, poverty in the 1970s,
disability in the 1980s and education in the 1990s. His longevity helped him
build what many consider the most substantial record of achievement of anyone
in his famous family, and made him a hero to many Democrats. A frequent
nemesis of conservatives, he nonetheless forged friendships and legislative
partnerships with many Republicans over the years. [My rewrite] In nearly
five decades in the Senate, Mr. Kennedy fathered legislation that affected
millions, tackling, among other things, education in the 1960s [thanks, Ted,
everyone now gets a quality education], poverty in the 1970s [we no longer
have poor people in this country], disability in the 1980s [at least he made
some lawyers rich but almost no one wants to risk hiring a disabled
person...and small businesses are sued by disabled “customers”
who had never before patronized the business and, after settling the lawsuit,
never come back] and education [again] in the 1990s [we had to try again because
it didn’t work in the 1960s]. He cost taxpayers who, unfortunately, are
a diminishing portion of the population, trillions of dollars and made
everything worse than before he “fixed” it. A fool and a crook, I
guess those are his “accomplishments.” Had he not died, the
passage of socialized health care for all of us (except government employees
and the political elites) would have been more likely. His death was welcomed
by freedom-loving people throughout the world.
Goodbye
Asshole! Now,
back to something important...how ‘bout them Cubs? 8/25/2009:
Born Again Romer Pushes Stimulus Plan Sham
by Michael Fumento There was never doubt
that whenever the economy began turning around the Obama administration, and
especially the $787 billion stimulus package, would get the credit.
“Absolutely” the stimulus package was working, Christina D.
Romer, Chair of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers,
insisted in an August 6 address to the Economic Club of Washington D.C. [That’s why they
had to rush the stimulus package through Congress; if they waited, the
economy would already have recovered and there would be no justification, no
matter how lame, for paying off ACORD, unions, public employees and every
brain-dead liberal scheme Congress could imagine.] Yet she accompanied that
talk with contradictory evidence – which is about par considering that
since joined the administration Ms. Romer has herself become a contradiction. Along with her speech,
Ms. Romer presented a table with calculations of the percentage of 2009 GDP
“discretionary fiscal stimulus” spending in various countries. It
showed the U.K. spent 1.5 percent of its GDP on stimulus, the same as Germany
and more than twice that of France at 0.6 percent. Yet even as the German and
French economies grew by 0.3 percent in the second quarter according to new
Eurostate data, the British economy plummeted 0.8 percent. Sweden spent 1.4
percent of its GDP on stimulus, yet had no growth. And the U.S.? It
outspent everybody, Romer boasted. Her table shows we spent 2.0 percent of
GDP. In her talk she said “roughly 5 percent of GDP,” which
represents the entire $787 billion as a portion of the projected GDP for this
year, though it will actually be paid out over several years. Choose whichever figure
tickles your fancy; it remains that for all Pres. Obama’s personal
back-slapping and media crowing of “disproved” stimulus skeptics,
the U.S. economy shrank one-percent in the second quarter. It was remarkable
only its improvement from the previous quarter. Of course, a mere
measurement of overall stimulus spending allocations versus growth in one
quarter is grossly simplistic. But certainly it’s no more so than
declaring “We’re spending stimulus funds, the economy improved
last quarter, ergo stimulus funds caused the improvement.” But what could be
reviving economies if not stimulus spending? “When the economy
goes down there are [intrinsic] restorative forces that drive it back
up,” observes UCLA economics professor Lee E. Ohanian, in contrast with
the view that without substantial government programs you’ll go down
and stay down for a long, long time.” Yes, just as certain vulgar
bumper stickers remind us that “excrement” happens, so do
recessions followed by recoveries. In fact, there were 12
recessions or depression just from 1850 to 1900, according to the National
Bureau of Economic Research, and plenty before that. All before government
could even pretend to do much about them. Not incidentally, despite
mythology, U.S. recovery during the Great Depression began in the second
quarter of 1933, while Congress was still voting on the earliest New Deal
legislation. Sadly, a similar myth helped propel Hitler to power months after
Germany’s recovery began. As for actually ending
the depression, “currency devaluations and monetary expansion became
the leading sources of recovery throughout the world,” wrote a
highly-regarded economic historian in 2003. “Fiscal policy, in
contrast, contributed almost nothing to the [U.S.] recovery before
1942,” she asserted in a 1992 paper. Yes, that was Christina D. Romer
– back when she was just a humble Berkeley economics professor. Yet the Obama version
Romer insists fiscal stimulus is “a well-tested antibiotic, not some
newfangled gene therapy.” She herself recognizes this seeming double
standard. “Some have concluded” from her 1992 paper she told the
Brookings Institution in a March 9 speech, that “I do not believe
fiscal policy can work today or could have worked in the 1930s. Nothing could
be farther from the truth.” “Some” may
have reached that conclusion because her 1992 paper contains no hint that
fiscal policy of any size or length has any benefit. Her 2003 paper contains
such a hint, but only in the case of Japan and only “combined with
substantial monetary expansion and an undervalued yen . . .” It also
helped that Japan suffered a 8.5 percent decline in industrial production,
compared to 46.8 percent in America and worse elsewhere. The only problem with
the U.S. government’s Great Depression stimulus, she said at Brookings,
is that it was too small and too short. Yet there she was, August 6,
insisting a small short stimulus had “absolutely” helped turn the
economy around. Tellingly, she felt
obligated to exaggerate it, claiming “As of the end of June, more than
$100 billion had been spent,” giving the Recovery.gov website as her
source. That website, however, actually says only $60 billion had been
“paid out” by then, much less actually spent by recipients.
Regardless, both figures pale in comparison to the $2 trillion the Fed had
already pumped into the economy by April 2 when the first stimulus dollars
were going out. “Politics is the
art of the possible,” German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck said. Under
the Obama administration, apparently it’s become the art of the
impossible. 8/24/2009:
Doubling the National Debt
By: Michael Barone The Obama administration
late last week, in classic late Friday afternoon attention-dodging mode,
released its midsession budget review. The good news: the federal deficit for
this year will be only $1,600,000,000,000 rather than $1,800,000,000,000. The
bad news, which will be released officially Tuesday: the projected federal
deficit for the next ten years is projected to increase to $9,000,000,000,000
from $7,000,000,000,000. That’s an extra
$547,000 per day every day for the next 10 years. As Harvard economist
Greg Mankiw points out, this means that the national debt is on it way to
more than doubling over the next ten years. As I wrote in my August
12 Examiner column, “the tea party and health care protesters, in their
often unsophisticated way, are raising an issue that seems to have become
central to our politics: Should we vastly increase the size and scope of the
federal government?” It’s far from obvious that our current
economic predicament requires an increase in federal indebtedness comparable
to that which was necessary to prosecuting World War II. 8/25/2009:
The Great Escape by Thomas Sowell Many of the issues of
our times are hard to understand without understanding the vision of the
world that they are part of. Whether the particular issue is education, economics
or medical care, the preferred explanation tends to be an external
explanation— that is, something outside the control of the individuals
directly involved. Education is usually
discussed in terms of the money spent on it, the teaching methods used, class
sizes or the way the whole system is organized. Students are discussed
largely as passive recipients of good or bad education. But education is not
something that can be given to anybody. It is something that students either
acquire or fail to acquire. Personal responsibility may be ignored or
downplayed in this “non-judgmental” age, but it remains a major
factor nevertheless. After many students go
through a dozen years in the public schools, at a total cost [well in excess
of] of $100,000 or more per student— and emerge semi-literate and with
little understanding of the society in which they live, much less the larger
world and its history— most discussions of what is wrong leave out the
fact that many such students may have chosen to use school as a place to fool
around, act up, organize gangs or even peddle drugs. The great escape of our
times is escape from personal responsibility for the consequences of
one’s own behavior. Differences in infant mortality rates provoke pious
editorials on a need for more prenatal care to be provided by the government
for those unable to afford it. In other words, the explanation is
automatically assumed to be external to the mothers involved and the solution
is assumed to be something that “we” can do for “them.” While it is true that
black mothers get less prenatal care than white mothers and have higher
infant mortality rates, it is also true that women of Mexican ancestry also
get less prenatal care than white women and yet have lower infant mortality
rates than white women. But, once people with the prevailing social vision
see the first set of facts, they seldom look for any other facts that might
go against the explanation that fits their vision of the world. No small part of the
current confusion between “health care” and medical care comes
from failing to recognize that Americans can have the best medical care in
the world without having the best health or longevity because so many people
choose to live in ways that shorten their lives. There can be grave practical
consequences of a dogmatic insistence on external explanations that allow
individuals to escape personal responsibility. Americans can end up
ruining the best medical care in the world in the vain hope that a government
takeover will give us better health. Economic issues are
approached in the same way. People with low incomes are seen as a problem for
other people to solve. Studies which follow the same individuals over time
show that the vast majority of working people who are in the bottom 20 percent
of income earners at a given time end up rising out of that bracket. Many are simply
beginners who get beginners’ wages but whose pay rises as they acquire
more skills and experience. Yet there is a small minority of workers who do
not rise and a large number of people who seldom work and who—
surprise!— have low incomes as a result. Seldom is there any
thought that people who choose to waste years of their own time (and the
taxpayers’ money) in school need to change their own behavior— or
to visibly suffer the consequences, so that their fate can be a warning to
others coming after them, not to make that same mistake. It is not just the
“non-judgmental” ideology of the intelligentsia but also the
self-interest of politicians that leads to so much downplaying of personal
responsibility in favor of external explanations and external programs to
“solve” the “problem.” On these and other
issues, government programs are far less likely to solve the country’s
problems than to solve the politicians’ problem of getting the votes of
those whose think the answer to every problem is for the government to
“do something.” To find out more about
Thomas Sowell and read features by other Creators Syndicate columnists and cartoonists,
visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com. Thomas Sowell is a
senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA
94305. His Web site is www.tsowell.com. Copyright 2009
Creators.Com 8/24/2009:
Obama’s Summer of Discontent
by Fouad Ajami So we are to have a
French health-care system without a French tradition of political protest. It
is odd that American liberalism, in a veritable state of insurrection during
the Bush presidency, now seeks political quiescence. These
“townhallers” who have come forth to challenge ObamaCare have
been labeled “evil-mongers” (Harry Reid),
“un-American” (Nancy Pelosi), agitators and rowdies and worse. A political class, and a
media elite, that glamorized the protest against the Iraq war, that branded
the Bush presidency as a reign of usurpation, now wishes to be done with the
tumult of political debate. President Barack Obama himself, the community
organizer par excellence, is full of lament that the “loudest
voices” are running away with the national debate. Liberalism in
righteous opposition, liberalism in power: The rules have changed. It was true to script,
and to necessity, that Mr. Obama would try to push through his sweeping
program—the change in the health-care system, a huge budget deficit,
the stimulus package, the takeover of the automotive industry—in record
time. He and his handlers must have feared that the spell would soon be
broken, that the coalition that carried Mr. Obama to power was destined to
come apart, that a country anxious and frightened in the fall of 2008 could
recover its poise and self-confidence. Historically, this republic, unlike
the Old World and the command economies of the Third World, had trusted the
society rather than the state. In a perilous moment, that balance had
shifted, and Mr. Obama was the beneficiary of that shift. 8/24/2009:
Saving the Obama Presidency On this day in 1994,
Bill Clinton’s presidency was saved. It didn’t look
that way at the time. After threatening to keep Congress in session until a
health-care bill was passed, then Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell gave
up and let members return home for their recess. The legislative push for
universal health care never recovered, and scarcely 11 weeks later
Republicans led by Newt Gingrich woke up to find that they had just won
control of both houses of Congress. Mr. Clinton’s
presidency, however, did recover. And though the Republican revolution in
Congress would ultimately run aground, in retrospect we can see two important
legacies: It helped usher in a new era of prosperity for the American people,
and in the process helped Mr. Clinton save his presidency. Today the lesson that
President Barack Obama and the Democratic leadership in Congress take from
that 1994 defeat is that they need to avoid Mr. Clinton’s
“mistakes.” Avoiding mistakes, however, is not a winning
strategy. A far more productive strategy would be to embrace Mr.
Clinton’s success, which was freeing himself from his party’s
left and returning to the centrist themes he had campaigned on. No doubt that would be a
bitter pill for Mr. Obama, given how he has made health care his signature
issue. Still, a wiser West Wing ought to have seen this train wreck coming.
For months polls have shown a huge gap between the popularity of the president
and the unpopularity of his policies. Sooner or later, one of these had to
give. Mr. Obama’s bet
was that his personal popularity would be enough to push his agenda through.
Perhaps that would have been possible before the $787 billion economic stimulus
package, the $410 billion omnibus bill that funds the government, the
House-approved cap-and-trade bill, and so forth. But these big-ticket
spending bills have helped define what the president means by
“hope” and “change,” and it is through this prism that
the American public now views his health-care proposals. Public skepticism
increased when the Congressional Budget Office issued findings contradicting
Mr. Obama’s claims that his health-care reform would lower costs. And
the more Americans have learned about the specifics, the more they dislike
the plans. The president understands that he loses when he talks about
substantive issues, which is why he’s been fudging on the public
option. He may not understand that he is closing the gap between his unpopular
policies and his personal popularity in the worst way a president can: by
reducing his own credibility. 8/24/2009:
In Search of Real Villains
by Thomas G. Donlan House
Speaker Pelosi does not seem to grasp the nature of insurance, which relies
on pooled risk -- not forced coverage. Just
before congress went home to face voters, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arranged
the music for the Democrats’ serenade for better and cheaper and more
comprehensive health care. She sang in a minor key, with a heavy kettledrum
accompaniment, taking aim at health insurance companies and their profits. “I
do not like using words like villains, but people call me a villain all the
time, so I figure it is probably OK to use it back,” the speaker said
as she warmed up in an interview with Al Hunt on Bloomberg TV. Why
does Pelosi see the insurance industry as a nest of villains? “They
have been the ones with exorbitant profits and immoral decision-making in
terms of coming between patients and their doctors,” she squawked. Exorbitant
profits? U.S. insurance industry profits are easy to look up. The managed
health care companies in the S&P 500 are Aetna, Cigna, Coventry Health
Care, Humana, UnitedHealth Group and WellPoint. In the four quarters ended
March 31, their operating profit margin was 4.3%. For the whole S&P 500,
the corresponding profit margin was 7.3%. Economist Ed Yardeni, who keeps
track of such things and is a great hand with corporate data, says that since
1996, the insurance companies have averaged 2.9 percentage points below the
profits of all 500 companies. Still,
Pelosi said, “The American people have been at their mercy. They have
not made America healthier. They have made health care more costly. And it is
important for us to have this legislation that puts the leverage back in the
hands of the patients.” Power
to the Feds The
speaker ignored several important realities of U.S. health care and health
insurance. Most Americans have good health coverage and are afraid to lose
it. Most Americans pay only a small part of the cost of their health care
directly. Most Americans receive health insurance from corporate employers or
the government, who dictate the terms that insurance companies only
administer. The
leverage Pelosi was talking about would be leverage in the hands of the
federal government. There’s no power here for the people. “Under
this legislation, an insurance company would not be able to withhold
insurance from you if you had a pre-existing medical condition,” Pelosi
promised. “If you lose your job, if you change your job, if you start a
business, if you want to be self-employed, you would still have it. It caps
what you pay into the system. It does not cap the benefit that you receive.
This is very important for people with disabilities, people with a cancer
diagnosis. The vulnerability, economically, is reduced because of our
legislation.” Pelosi’s
no villain -- she really believes this nonsense, because she doesn’t
understand what insurance is. Insurance
is a financial device protecting people from unlikely, unpredictable, adverse
events, by pooling their funds to compensate those few who have losses. Fire
insurance, for example, protects homeowners from extreme but unlikely losses. Covering
people with pre-existing conditions is not insurance; it’s a social
program. Imagine a homeowners’ policy that covered air-conditioning and
heating bills as well as fire and other sorts of unexpected damage. Payoffs
would be continuous and certain. Premiums would rise accordingly, just as
they have with health insurance that offers too much coverage. The
only way to insure a “risk” that is actually a certainty is to
make other people pay for it. As we do. Healthy people already are taxed to
pay for the care of sick people. More than half of Americans receive
tax-supported health care. Working
Americans and employers each pay 1.45% of gross pay to support the Medicare
program, which covers people over 65 and people who are disabled. The
total direct tax bill for Medicare is 2.9% of payroll, but that only raises
about one-quarter of the program’s full cost. Beneficiaries pay nominal
deductibles and co-payments, which may seem large to them but are small
compared with actual costs. The bulk of the Medicare bill is paid from other
government tax revenue and from Treasury borrowing. (No wonder it’s
popular with beneficiaries.) Medicaid expenses for the poor are shared
between state and the federal government using taxes and borrowing. Veterans
and military families also receive government-supported health care. Insurance
companies should charge for homeowners’ insurance according to their
estimate of actual risk; competition would keep rates in check. In all
states, however, government comes between insurers and insureds to dictate
fairness. Californians who live where forest fires come every few years pay a
lot less than they should. The state makes everyone else pay a little more
than they should and calls that fairness. Floridians pay a lot less than the
actuarial value of their risk of hurricane damage. They tax themselves to
subsidize themselves, and they call that fairness. Obstruction
of Justice If
insurance companies come between patients and their doctors, Pelosi should
not resent it unless patients are also paying for their own treatment.
It’s true that insurance companies sometimes refuse to pay for treatments
that patients want and doctors think are necessary. Usually the insurers do
so because they did not insure that risk, because they did not receive a
premium to pay for it. This is a shame, but not shameful. Only
a government “insurance” plan, such as Medicare and Medicaid, can
cover risks without charging premiums for them. They have the
government’s invisible bank account behind them -- topped off by taxes
and borrowing. Even
such government plans can’t do everything. Medicare and Medicaid have long
lists of services they don’t cover, and they use their economic power
to fix prices below market levels on a take-it-or-leave-it basis. Most
doctors and hospitals take what the government pays; a few brave ones
exercise their diminishing freedom to use the exit. If
a majority of Americans wished to pay for universal health insurance, they
would have attended noisy town meetings this month and demanded that their
legislators provide it -- and that they levy an appropriate tax. Congress and
the administration would rejoice, and give it to them, good and hard. But
politicians who try to slip national health past the people without admitting
the true costs will not succeed. Editorial
Page Editor THOMAS G. DONLAN receives e-mail at tg.donlan@barrons.com. 8/21/2009:
Mexico
decriminalizes small-scale drug possession [Mexico’s government recognizes the hazards
of criminalization of recreational drugs while the United States’
government is too stupid and too greedy (and too controlling) to make the
same kinds of changes in the law.] MEXICO
CITY (AP) - Mexico decriminalized small amounts of marijuana, cocaine and
heroin on Friday—a move that prosecutors say makes sense even in the
midst of the government’s grueling battle against drug traffickers. Prosecutors
said the new law sets clear limits that keep Mexico’s corruption-prone
police from extorting casual users and offers addicts free treatment to keep
growing domestic drug use in check. “This
is not legalization, this is regulating the issue and giving citizens greater
legal certainty,” said Bernardo Espino del Castillo of the attorney
general’s office. The
new law sets out maximum “personal use” amounts for drugs, also
including LSD and methamphetamine. People detained with those quantities no
longer face criminal prosecution. Espino
del Castillo says, in practice, small users almost never did face charges
anyway. Under the previous law, the possession of any amount of drugs was
punishable by stiff jail sentences, but there was leeway for addicts caught
with smaller amounts. “We
couldn’t charge somebody who was in possession of a dose of a drug,
there was no way ... because the person would claim they were an
addict,” he said. Despite
the provisions, police sometimes hauled in suspects and demanded bribes,
threatening long jail sentences if people did not pay. “The
bad thing was that it was left up to the discretion of the detective, and it
could open the door to corruption or extortion,” Espino del Castillo
said. ...
The maximum amount of marijuana for “personal use” under the new
law is 5 grams—the equivalent of about four joints...[Read more] 8/20/2009:
In
Government We Trust? by Daniel Henninger To
explain why the Obama health-care proposal pitched the nation’s
politicians into town-hall hell, we would like to call to the stand an expert
on how things in life can sometimes go wrong—Mr. Billy Joel. Using
a song years ago to sort through the complexities of a relationship in
trouble, the Piano Man repeated the same simple one-word truth:
“It’s a matter of trust.” Instead
of whining about conspiracies, the average congressman getting yelled at this
summer by his own constituents might ask: How come these people don’t
trust me? The
Democratic leadership and the progressive left think the town halls emerged
from the electric fog of conservative talk shows, but the Obama proposal
since early June never had an organized opposition. It has been sinking
beneath its own weight. It is the weight of doubtful government. Recall
that soon into the Obama presidency it was written, if not put to music, that
this new moment marked the reversal of the Reagan legacy. One
such springtime account began: “Ronald Reagan used to joke that the nine
most terrifying words in the English language were ‘I’m from the
government and I’m here to help.’ Barack Obama is making those
words welcome.” No
he’s not. The public reaction to the health-care proposal, evident both
in public-opinion polls and town halls, tells us that the misgivings Ronald
Reagan identified 25 years ago remain a potent factor in American politics.
There’s a reason why the United States motto on the back of its
currency reads “In God We Trust,” not the other G-word. The
left likes to say that conservatives hate government. The truth, and it holds
for many people beyond conservatism, is closer to what Alfred Hitchcock said
when he was accused of hating the police. “I’m not against the
police,” Hitchcock said, “I’m just afraid of them.” Congress’s
approval rating sits at 30%. This is a remarkable vote of no confidence in
the representative branch of a national government. In
California and New York, the two most economically important and famous of
the 50 states, the legislatures have been revealed as incompetent to manage
the public’s money. The budget crises in California and New York
aren’t just a normal turn in the fiscal cycle. Those governments have
finally hit the wall. Oblivious
to manifest failure, the liberal-progressive idea keeps itself afloat on
intellectual water wings—insisting that most people still believe that
if government commits itself to accomplishing a public good, it will more or
less succeed despite the difficulties and inefficiencies of these great
projects. Needed good gets done. That
civics-book faith in the good intentions of government has been on the bubble
with a broad swath of the American people who don’t know left from
right but only public performance. The Obama health-care proposal arrived at
a particularly bad moment to be asking voters to “trust us.” By
the time Barack Obama entered the White House, the exploding of the housing
bubble had covered the landscape with the bodies of bankers, brokers and
politicians who’d promised people a yellow-brick road lined with houses
sold with fairy-tale down payments. Then the gods delivered a final lesson in
misplaced trust: the Madoff Ponzi scheme. I
believe Madoff’s massive and destructive breach of trust had an effect
on the public mind that carried beyond the tragedy of its immediate victims.
After Madoff, John Q. Public set the bar really high for anyone seeking a big
commitment of trust with money. But that’s exactly what the ambitious
Obama health plan did. President
Obama in his public pleas for the plan appears to be truly upset that his
benign view of it isn’t obvious to all. In his op-ed Sunday for the New
York Times he said, “We’ll cut hundreds of billions in waste and
inefficiency in federal health programs like Medicare and Medicaid.”
Hundreds of billions? Just like that? This is nothing but an assertion by one
man. It’s close to Peter Pan telling the children that thinking lovely
thoughts will make them fly. Most
people are aware that the big three entitlements we’ve got are
underfunded. Medicaid is wrecking state budgets, Medicare goes broke in eight
years, followed by the flatlining of Social Security. King
Canute ordered the tides to recede to prove to his courtiers that his powers
were limited. President Obama appears to believe he can reverse the tides of
entitlement. What evidence has government given to allow anyone to believe
this? The
White House is suggesting that Mr. Obama in the fall will state the
“moral imperative” beneath a federal expansion of health
insurance. As one Democratic strategist told this newspaper:
“You’ve got to call on the better angels out there.” These
people seem to think that if a popular president can just find the right way
to describe this entitlement, the American people will take his word for it.
Maybe there was a time when a strong presidential personality could sell big
things. Those days are gone. The government frittered them away. President
Obama has been saying lately, “This isn’t about me.”
That’s right. That’s his problem. Write
to henninger@wsj.com 8/18/2009:
from the Wall Street Journal Online, Best of the Web: Some proponents of ObamaCare may be
underestimating its cost to the taxpayer. For example, Ellen Ratner, a
left-wing commentator, writes on
FoxNews.com: According to The Center
for Responsive Politics’ Web site OpenSecrets.org the total amount of lobbying money spent
in 2008 and 2009 by groups representing
pharmaceutical/health products was a whopping $370,440,214. The
insurance companies are
responsible for $144,738,590. To put this in perspective, the amount spent lobbying would pay for
nearly four years of the estimated full cost of the Obama health care plan. The
lobbying groups have managed to spend that in less than two years! That
comes to a total of $515,178,804. Divide that by 4, and the “estimated
full cost” of ObamaCare is
just $128,794,701 a year. Does anyone really believe Obama can provide insurance to however many
people--what is it today, 47 million?--for $2.74 a year apiece? 8/18/2009:
Whose Medical Decisions? by
Thomas Sowell There
was a time when rushing a thousand-page bill through Congress so fast that no
one has time to read it would have provoked public outrage. But now, this has
been attempted twice in the first 6 months of a new administration. The
fact that they got away with it before, with the “stimulus” bill,
may have led them to believe that they could get away with it again. But
the first bill simply spent hundreds of billions of dollars. The current
“health care” bill threatens to take life-and-death decisions out
of the hands of individuals and their doctors, transferring those decisions
to Washington bureaucrats. Culture
of Corruption by Michelle Malkin FREE People
are taking that personally-- as they should. Your life and death, and that of
your loved ones, is as personal as it gets. The
mainstream media are again circling the wagons to protect Barack Obama, but
this time it may not work. One of those front-page editorials disguised as a
news article in the New York Times begins: “The stubborn yet false
rumor that President Obama’s health care proposals would create
government-sponsored ‘death panels’ to decide which patients were
worthy of living seemed to arise from nowhere in recent weeks.” [...Read more...] 8/18/2009:
Now Yale Embarrasses the Idea of the
Western University When
I was a graduate student at Columbia University in the early 1970s, I came to
the then-tentative conclusion that I would probably never encounter a morally
weaker, more cowardly group of people than college administrators. While
there are exceptions to this rule and there are other institutions that
regularly exhibit as much moral cowardice as universities do, nearly 40 years
later my conclusion is no longer tentative. What
prompted this conclusion in the 1970s was seeing a handful of radical
students take over classrooms at Columbia and shut down the university while
professors and deans, individuals whose lives were supposedly dedicated to
the open mind and to learning, did nothing. It is almost impossible for me,
nearly four decades later, to fully convey how deeply this affected me. I
came to see the modern university as fraudulent. In theory it stood for
learning and opening the mind. In practice it stood for appeasement of
bullies. Unfortunately,
nothing has happened since then to make me rethink the low view of
universities that I developed in my 20s. And the most recent example -- this
time at Yale University -- only adds to the bleak moral record of the modern
university. As
reported -- to its credit -- in the New York Times last week, Yale University
Press has banned the publication of any picture of Muhammad from a book it is
about to publish on the Muhammad cartoons controversy, “The Cartoons
That Shook the World.” [...Read more...] 8/17/2009:
NY shopkeeper who defended store recounts
shooting NEW
YORK — The sidewalk outside the Harlem store still was smeared with
blood Friday, and the glass on the door still was blown out. Above
the entrance, someone had scribbled the words, “Abandon hope all ye who
enter here.” Less
than 24 hours after a deadly showdown at the shop worthy of a Clint Eastwood
script, Charles “Gus” Augusto Jr. entered his store —
oblivious of the inscription taken from Dante’s “Inferno.” The
72-year-old wholesaler of commercial restaurant equipment had been up all
night, questioned by police about how he’d drawn a shotgun and killed
two of four armed robbery suspects who entered his Kaplan Brothers Blue Flame
store Thursday afternoon. Two
of the young men died on the street. Two remained hospitalized in stable
condition with gunshot wounds. When
they walked in at about 3 p.m. and confronted Augusto with guns, “I
didn’t want to shoot them,” he said, sitting bleary-eyed in his
dusty, windowless warehouse, with a fly swatter hanging above his head. He
said the bandits drew their handguns, yelling, “Where’s the
money? Where’s the money?” They
pistol-whipped a worker and waved a weapon at a cashier’s face, he
said. “There
is no money,” Augusto said he told them. “Go home.” Stashed
away nearby was the 12-gauge shotgun he bought decades ago and said he had
never used since a test-fire. He reached for it when he sensed one of the men
was about to shoot, and pulled the trigger once. “I
hoped after the first shot they would go away,” he said. When
they didn’t, continuing to menace his employees, he fired again, and
again. Police
said one of the men collapsed and died outside the door, just feet from a
Baptist church. “He
died in the hands of God,” said a neighborhood resident, Vincent Gayle,
pointing to the blood-spattered pavement by the church. “But what goes
around comes around.” Another
fatally wounded suspect managed to cross the street, leaving a trail of blood
before he collapsed. He was later pronounced dead at the hospital, police
said. More
blood led police to the other two suspects, who were arrested and taken to
the hospital. Charges against them were pending. Police
said Augusto didn’t have a required permit for the weapon used in the
headline-grabbing shooting the Daily News called a “Pump-Action
Ending.” But
he was a victim, police said, and no charges had been filed on Friday. “I’d
rather not have done it,” Augusto said, “and I’m sad for
those mothers who have no sons.” On
Friday, pedestrians were still sidestepping pools of blood along
Augusto’s block on West 125th Street, a short walk from Bill
Clinton’s Harlem office. Reactions
to the shooting were mixed. Frida
Rodriguez called it “a sad day” for the neighborhood. Augusto
“was defending his work, his business, so you could perceive that as
being heroic,” she said. “But on the other hand, these kids
died.” The
shopkeeper was coy when asked whether, with his shotgun confiscated, he had a
backup. “I’m
not going to tell you that,” he said. Associated
Press Writer Tom Hays contributed to this report. Copyright
© 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. 8/17/2009:
Two Papers in One: from the WSJ’s
Best of the Web “There’s
a problem: conservative politicians, clinging to an out-of-date
ideology--and, perhaps, betting (wrongly) that their constituents are
relatively well-positioned to ride out the storm--are standing in the way of
action. No, I’m not talking about Bob Corker, the Senator from
Nissan--I mean Tennessee--and his fellow Republicans... I am, instead,
talking about Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, and her economic
officials, who have become the biggest obstacles to a much-needed European
rescue plan.”--former Enron adviser Paul Krugman, New York Times, Dec.
15, 2008 “Why
is Europe falling short? Poor leadership is part of the story. European
banking officials, who completely missed the depth of the crisis, still seem
weirdly complacent. And to hear anything in America comparable to the
know-nothing diatribes of Germany’s finance minister you have to listen
to, well, Republicans.”--Krugman, New York Times, March 16, 2009 “The
European economy bounced back with unexpected strength in the second quarter,
buoying hopes that a worldwide recession was drawing to a close. The sharp
improvement from the first quarter underscored just how far Europe and indeed
the global economy had come since a harrowing free fall in late 2008.
Underlying the strong reading were solid performances in France and Germany,
each of whose economies grew slightly in the second quarter, according to
government data released Thursday.”--news story, New York Times, Aug.
14, 2009 [and they did it without pork-laden
“stimulus” plans from brain-dead, lying, thieving liberals; Paul
Krugman (a former advisor to Enron) is an idiot; he may have lots of degrees
and a Nobel prize in economics (at least he once believed in free trade), but
he is still wrong most of the time.] 8/17/2009:
Health
care slaves? “Public goods” versus private exchange Conservative
public policy is often attacked because it fails to “fix” human
nature. But liberal public policy usually fails because it ignores human
nature. A conversation I had at a business law conference I attended two
weeks ago drove this point home to me anew. Having
served on a well-attended panel entitled “Conservatism in
Academe,” early on in the conference, I was fair game for anyone
wanting to challenge conservative principles and policies. Later in the week,
a colleague chatting with me over cocktails tried to defend single-payer
health care. “I believe in having a civil society,” she explained
pleasantly, “and in a civil society, I think health care should be a
‘public good.’” Saying
that health care is a “public good” sounds wonderful – the
kind of statement with which no intelligent and compassionate person could
disagree. But, as with so many blanket statements made by liberals, it does
not hold up under scrutiny, and in fact the infrastructure necessary to
deliver on such an apparently compassionate policy inevitably results in
disappointment, failure, and – if the latter is not acknowledged
– oppression by the very government it was hoped would be the solution
to all human ills. Why is this so? Three basic reasons, all inarguable: 1. No
one “owns” another human being’s work. A
“public good” ought to be something that everyone needs access
to, but no one should own, like air or water. Although human beings might
unlawfully pollute or otherwise make these public goods unavailable or
unusable for their fellow creatures, humans did not create nor do they own
these things, which preexisted us. Unlike
air or water, “health care” does not exist in the absence of
another human being’s endeavors. If someone decides to be a nurse, a
pediatrician, an oncologist, or a neurosurgeon, he will spend (or borrow) the
money, and devote months and years of study to acquire the necessary
expertise. Someone else could get an engineering degree and invent a new
stent, an MRI technology, a CT scan machine, or ultrasound. Still another
could pursue her education in chemistry, and develop a compound that
eventually becomes drug therapy for cancer, autism, diabetes, hypertension,
or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Groups of people get together,
raise the necessary funds, and build offices, clinics, and hospitals.
Multiply this activity by hundreds of thousands of people over decades, and
you have a health care “system.” (Although even the term
“system” is a misnomer here, since there is no single unifying
power behind the development or delivery of the care). But none of these
goods or services would exist without human beings’ creating, building,
or deciding to deliver them. To
say that “health care” is a “public good” is to say
that everyone has an equal right to these people’s time, their efforts,
their energy; the services they choose to deliver, or the things they have
devoted their lives’ work to developing. The unfairness of this
assessment and the impossibility of its implementation is surely obvious:
none of us “owns” anyone else’s time or creativity, and
none of us have the right to demand free access to it. To claim otherwise is
a form of indentured servitude. A free society depends upon free exchange: we
request goods or services that another provides, and we must offer something
that person views as having equal value. Which brings us to the second point. 2. If
people think it is “free,” they will demand more of it than can
be provided. Characterizing
health care as a “public good” is another way of saying that
demand for it is potentially unlimited. This exposes the single largest flaw
in the single-payer plans. Single-payer advocates like Barack Obama, Nancy
Pelosi and Barney Frank ignore human nature, and then hide behind their
intentions when human nature rears its head: “We don’t have any
intention of ‘rationing’ health care,” they claim. OK,
let’s assume they don’t. But it won’t be their
“intentions” that cause it to be rationed; it will be the fact
that everyone will want more of it than they can have, because they have been
told that it is their “right,” and that it is “free.” A
simple analogy should demonstrate this. Food is even more essential to human
existence than health care, and yet we don’t argue that we have a
“right” to “free” food. If your local supermarket was
ordered to announce “Free food today!” would people casually
stroll over and pick up a few items they needed? More likely, there would be
a run on the store that would empty the shelves within minutes. Imagine that
happening at every store, every day. How long could that system last? The
only thing tempering insatiable human demand is the fact that the person
providing the wanted item expects something of value in exchange –
usually money. As much as liberals love to denounce the profit motive, it is
precisely the insistence upon an exchange of value that keeps what would
otherwise be limitless human demand in check. Government
purports to be “above” mere money-grubbing profit motives, and
people assume this is an improvement. But it is actually the problem.
Government “income” from tax dollars is not unlimited, despite
perception to the contrary. Yet history is replete with instances of entities
charging the government more than they would if they were billing a private
entity. (Medicare fraud, anyone? Or perhaps you remember $500 toilet seats?)
In point of fact, the costs of the goods and services after the government
decides to provide them will be pretty much what they were before the
government took over. Only now, the customers/recipients/patients think that
they no longer have to pay for them. Without the checks and balances inherent
in the “my-wants-versus-your-profit-motive” dynamic, demand will
skyrocket, supplies will shrink, and shortages will occur. Why must supplies
shrink? Because the government cannot command doctors to work more than 24
hours in a day. It cannot command that complex surgeries take less time. It
cannot command the chemical reactions in pharmaceutical manufacturing to
occur faster. All it can do is ration what there is. 3.
There is no such thing as completely “equal” care, anyway If
demand for health care is limitless, governments’ pursuit of absurd and
impossible results, seemingly, is not. And that pursuit has been the cause of
untold misery. It is a very small step from saying that “health care is
a ‘public good’” to saying that “equal quality health
care is a ‘public good.’” After all, if I have a
“right” to neurosurgery, then do I not also have a right to
neurosurgery that is as good as that which someone in Los Angeles, Cleveland
or Boston would get? This,
too, is untenable. Human beings may be “created equal” in the
eyes of God, but they are certainly not created equal in terms of talent,
skill, acuity, tenacity, or ability. The government cannot say, “Surgeon
X must be of equal quality and skill as Surgeon Y.” Plenty - like the
former Soviet Union, Cambodia, China and Cuba (note the pattern there) - have
tried and failed. More recently, countries like Sweden have actually
forbidden the private purchase of health care that is not paid for by the
government, arguing that for some to get “better” care simply
because they can afford to pay for it, is “unequal.” The
primary problem with the delivery of health care in this country is not the
model of private exchange, it is a cost structure that is making it
increasingly difficult for the average American to pay for the care they
receive. The correct model of reform is one that addresses unnecessary costs,
not one that takes our most talented, productive and needed citizens, and
makes them – and us – slaves to an unworkable and ultimately
doomed government health care system. 8/16/2009:
We Don’t Spend Enough on Health Care [There’s a lot in this essay with which to
agree, but the real issue is that we don’t know how much we would spend
in the aggregate without government interference. We might spend a lot more
in total but get even more services and better outcomes for it. As we as a
society become wealthier and spend a smaller percentage of our income on
food, clothing and shelter, we can afford to spend more on
“luxuries” and much of health care is a luxury both by historical
standards and world standards.] Americans are being
urged to worry about the nation spending 17% of its gross domestic product
each year on health care—a higher percentage than any other country.
Addressing the American Medical Association in June, Barack Obama said,
“Make no mistake: The cost of our health care is a threat to our
economy.” But the president is mistaken. Japan spends 8% of its GDP on
health care—the same as Zimbabwe. South Korea and Haiti both spend 6%.
Monaco spends 5%, which is what Afghanistan spends. Do all of these countries
have economies that are less “threatened” than that of the U.S.? No. So there must be
other factors that affect the health of a nation’s economy. Mr. Obama has said that
“the cost of health care has weighed down our economy.” No one
thinks the 20% of our GDP that’s attributable to manufacturing is
weighing down the economy, because it’s intuitively clear that one
person’s expenditure on widgets is another person’s income. But
the same is true of the health-care industry. The $2.4 trillion Americans
spend each year for health care doesn’t go up in smoke. It’s paid
to other Americans. The basic material needs
of human beings are food, clothing and shelter. The desire for food and
clothing drove hunter-gatherer economies and, subsequently, agricultural
economies, for millennia. The Industrial Revolution was driven by the desire
for clothing. Thus Richard Arkwright’s water frame, James Hargreaves’s
spinning jenny, Samuel Crompton’s spinning mule, Eli Whitney’s
cotton gin and Elias Howe’s sewing machine. Though it hasn’t
been widely realized, the desire for shelter was a major driver of the U.S.
economy during the second half of the 20th century and the first several
years of the 21st. About one-third of the new jobs created during the latter
period were directly or indirectly related to housing, as the stupendous
ripple effect of the bursting housing bubble should make painfully obvious. Once these material
needs are substantially met, desire for health care—without which there
can be no enjoyment of food, clothing or shelter—becomes a significant,
perhaps a principal, driver of the economy. A little-noticed feature
of the current recession is the role of the health-care industry as a
resilient driver of the general economy. Health-care now accounts for 10.4%
of nonfarm employment. Health-care employment grew by 19,600 jobs in July
2009, on a par with the average monthly gain for the first half of 2009,
which was down from an average monthly increase of 30,000 in 2008.
Remarkably, these gains occurred in a period during which total employment
shrank by 6.7 million. The U.S. health-care
economy should be viewed not as a burden but as an engine of growth. Medical
and orthopedic equipment exports increased by 65.1% from 2004 through 2008.
Pharmaceutical exports were up 74.6%. The unprecedented advances expected to
come out of American stem cell, nanotechnology and human genome
research—which other countries’ constricted health sectors cannot
support—will send these already impressive figures skyward. A study by Deloitte LLP
has found that more than 400,000 non-U.S. residents obtained medical care in
the U.S. in 2008, and it forecasts an annual increase of 3%. Some 3.5% of
inpatient procedures at U.S. hospitals were performed on international
patients, many of them escaping from Canada’s supposedly superior
health system. “Inbound medical
tourism,” Deloitte stated, “is primarily driven by the search for
high-quality care without extensive waiting periods. Foreign patients are
willing to pay more for care within the United States if these two factors
play a large role.” The deficiencies of the foreign health-care systems
the Obama administration wishes to emulate can be counted on to generate
ever-increasing revenues for U.S. providers and employment for Americans. In a 2007 study,
Stanford University economists Robert E. Hall (who will take office next year
as president of the American Economic Association) and Charles I. Jones
reported that modeling they’ve conducted has found that mid-21st
century U.S. health-care expenditures would optimally amount to 30% of GDP or
more. They wrote: “We examine the
allocation of resources that maximizes social welfare in our model. We
abstract from the complicated institutions that shape spending in the United
States and ask a more basic question: from a social welfare standpoint, how
much should the nation spend on health care, and what is the time path of
optimal health spending? . . . “Viewed from every
angle, our results support the proposition that both historical and future
increases in the health spending share are desirable... [W]e believe it
likely that maximizing social welfare in the United States will require the
development of institutions that are consistent with spending 30 percent or
more of GDP on health by the middle of the century.” The
administration’s health-care plan is biased toward bean-counting rather
than designed to maximize American physical and mental well-being. We need to
ask ourselves whether there is truly anything more valuable to us than our
loved ones and our own health and longevity. In the signature radio
sketch of Jack Benny, whose performing persona was laughably frugal, actor
Eddie Marr snarled at him, “Don’t make a move—this is a
stickup. Now, come on: Your money or your life.” Benny didn’t
respond. The “robber” said, “Look, bud—I said your
money or your life!” Whereupon Benny shot back, “I’m
thinking it over!” Confronted for the first
time in history with a constant stream of medical innovations that are
marvelously effective but tend to be very expensive, our legislative
representatives—in particular, the Blue Dog Democrats—would do
well to stop “thinking it over” and to commit themselves to
action that will preserve the ability of Americans to choose life over money. Mr. Karpel is the author of “The Retirement
Myth” (HarperCollins, 1995). 8/17/2009:
Health Debate Misses a Key Point The
health debate isn’t just about health or the role of government in the
economy (“Health Debate Isn’t About Health,” Capital
Journal, Aug. 11). It is about the Constitution, liberty and the future of
the republic. As a high-school government teacher for 11 years, I have read
the Constitution thoroughly and completely hundreds of times. The
Constitution is about limiting government—keeping it as small and
unobtrusive as possible. It is about the government protecting property, not
taking away from one group to give to another. As
our government gets further away from those basic principles, we move toward
the tyranny that the Founding Fathers hoped to avoid. The health bill may be
well-intentioned, but it gives government sweeping powers to make health-care
decisions concerning everything from preventing life (abortion) to ending it
(end-of-life counseling). It may not intend to put the government between the
physician and the patient but it gives the government unprecedented power to
do just that. There
is no authority in the Constitution for government to take over our health
care, just as there was no authority in the Constitution to take over General
Motors or take taxpayer money to bail out failing banks. The government
decided to throw the Constitution under the bus during the last year of the
Bush administration, and the current administration has driven the bus back
and forth over the document. The people of this country have a right to be
angry and fearful for both our liberty and the future of our republic. David
Williams 8/17/2009:
It’s Time to Legalize Drugs Undercover
Baltimore police officer Dante Arthur was doing what he does well, arresting
drug dealers, when he approached a group in January. What he didn’t
know was that one of suspects knew from a previous arrest that Arthur was police.
Arthur was shot twice in the face. In the gunfight that ensued,
Arthur’s partner returned fire and shot one of the suspects, three of
whom were later arrested. In
many ways, Dante Arthur was lucky. He lived. Nationwide, a police officer dies
on duty nearly every other day. Too often a flag-draped casket is followed by
miles of flashing red and blue lights. Even more officers are shot and
wounded, too many fighting the war on drugs. The prohibition on drugs leads
to unregulated, and often violent, public drug dealing. Perhaps
counter-intuitively, better police training and bigger guns are not the
answer. When
it makes sense to deal drugs in public, a neighborhood becomes home to drug
violence. For a low-level drug dealer, working the street means more money
and fewer economic risks. If police come, and they will, some young kid will
be left holding the bag while the dealer walks around the block. But if the
dealer sells inside, one raid, by either police or robbers, can put him out
of business for good. Only those virtually immune from arrests (much less
imprisonment) -- college students, the wealthy and those who never buy or
sell from strangers -- can deal indoors. Six
years ago one of us wrote a column on this page, “Victims of the War on
Drugs.” It discussed violence, poor community relations, overly
aggressive policing and riots. It failed to mention one important harm: the
drug war’s clear and present danger toward men and women in blue. Drug
users generally aren’t violent. Most simply want to be left alone to
enjoy their high. It’s the corner slinger who terrifies neighbors and
invites rivals to attack. Public drug dealing creates an environment where
disputes about money or respect are settled with guns. In
high-crime areas, police spend much of their time answering drug-related
calls for service, clearing dealers off corners, responding to shootings and
homicides, and making lots of drug-related arrests. One
of us (Franklin) was the commanding officer at the police academy when Arthur
(as well as Moskos) graduated. We all learned similar lessons. Police
officers are taught about the evils of the drug trade and given the knowledge
and tools to inflict as much damage as possible upon the people who
constitute the drug community. Policymakers tell us to fight this unwinnable
war. Only
after years of witnessing the ineffectiveness of drug policies -- and the
disproportionate impact the drug war has on young black men -- have we and
other police officers begun to question the system. Cities
and states license beer and tobacco sellers to control where, when and to
whom [those] drugs are sold. Ending Prohibition saved lives because it took
gangsters out of the game. Regulated alcohol doesn’t work perfectly,
but it works well enough. Prescription drugs are regulated, and while there
is a huge problem with abuse, at least a system of distribution involving
doctors and pharmacists works without violence and high-volume incarceration.
Regulating drugs would work similarly: not a cure-all, but a vast improvement
on the status quo. Legalization
would not create a drug free-for-all. In fact, regulation reins in the mess
we already have. If prohibition decreased drug use and drug arrests acted as
a deterrent, America would not lead the world in illegal drug use and
incarceration for drug crimes. Drug
manufacturing and distribution is too dangerous to remain in the hands of
unregulated criminals. Drug distribution needs to be the combined
responsibility of doctors, the government, and a legal and regulated free
market. This simple step would quickly eliminate the greatest threat of
violence: street-corner drug dealing. We
simply urge the federal government to retreat. Let cities and states (and,
while we’re at it, other countries) decide their own drug policies.
Many would continue prohibition, but some would try something new. California
and its medical marijuana dispensaries provide a good working example, warts
and all, that legalized drug distribution does not cause the sky to fall. Having
fought the war on drugs, we know that ending the drug war is the right thing
to do -- for all of us, especially taxpayers. While the financial benefits of
drug legalization are not our main concern, they are substantial. In a July
referendum, Oakland, Calif., voted to tax drug sales by a 4-to-1 margin.
Harvard economist Jeffrey Miron estimates that ending the drug war would save
$44 billion annually, with taxes bringing in an additional $33 billion. Without
the drug war, America’s most decimated neighborhoods would have a chance
to recover. Working people could sit on stoops, misguided youths
wouldn’t look up to criminals as role models, our overflowing prisons
could hold real criminals, and -- most important to us -- more police
officers wouldn’t have to die. Peter Moskos is a professor at John Jay
College of Criminal Justice and the author of “Cop in the Hood.”
Neill Franklin is a 32-year law enforcement veteran. Both served as Baltimore
City police officers and are members of Law Enforcement Against Prohibition. 8/15/2009:
Public service pensions over $100,000 per
year skyrocket At a time when
government agencies are cutting back on law enforcement, health care for
children and services for the poor, the number of public servants collecting
$100,000-plus pensions - including one raking in nearly $500,000 a year - has
exploded in recent years, in some cases tripling or even increasing
sevenfold. In Los Angeles County, the number of
retired county employees receiving pensions of $100,000 or more has nearly
tripled from 1,198 in 2004 to 3,096 today, the
Daily News, a sister paper of the Press-Telegram, has learned through a
series of Public Records Act requests. Throughout California, the number of
retired state workers collecting $100,000-plus pensions has mushroomed more
than six fold from 816 in 2004 to 5,115 now. And the number of school
administrators and teachers collecting six-figure pensions has rocketed more
than sevenfold from 427 in 2004 to 3,088 now. Los Angeles, excluding
the Department of Water and Power, currently has 600 retirees collecting more
than $100,000 a year. “This is just
outrageous to me,” said Marcia Fritz, vice president of the California
Foundation for Fiscal Responsibility, an organization that advocates
statewide pension reform. “I would not have expected the number of
($100,000 pension club members) to have increased that much in the last five
years.” Nearly $500,000 a year The dubious honor of
collecting the state’s highest pension belongs to former
Vernon City Administrator Bruce Malkenhorst, who receives $499,675 per year -
even though he is currently facing two counts of misappropriating public
funds for allegedly taking $60,000 in city money for personal
use. Malkenhorst’s
attorney did not return calls for comment. The second-largest
pension goes to an undisclosed Los Angeles County government retiree who is
paid $366,384. As grand juries
throughout the state are investigating pension systems, former Assemblyman
Keith Richman, president of CFFR, said these huge pensions are the result of
a “corrupt pension system.” California, Richman
said, is the only state in the nation that allows employees to use their
highest year of salary - including unused vacation, vehicle allowances,
bonuses and other compensation - in calculating their pensions. “The bottom line
is we have very extravagant pension benefits that taxpayers can’t
afford,” Richman said. “Pension-spiking has played a large role
in this. We have public employees throughout the state who are retiring at
age 50 and collecting more than 100 percent of their salaries, getting annual
cost-of-living raises and lifetime health benefits.” But union leaders bristle
at the suggestion that most public workers receive extravagant retirement
benefits. Barbara Maynard, a
consultant for the Coalition of LA City Unions and the Coalition of County
Unions, said only a small percentage of retired public servants receive
“these exorbitant pensions.” “It’s really
upper management who are receiving these benefits,” Maynard said.
“The rank-and-file workers are really struggling to get by on very
meager pensions averaging $40,000 a year.” Call for rollback The revelations about
the eye-popping pensions - a by-product of what officials describe as a
“Cadillac” pension system elected officials have created at the
prodding of public employee unions - come as Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, Los
Angeles City Councilman Bernard Parks and others are calling on elected
officials to roll back generous pension and retiree health care plans. Schwarzenegger has
estimated the unfunded retirement promises - the money the state has promised
to pay over the lifetime of its employees and retirees without designating
where the funds will come from - could be as much as $300 billion if
investments don’t meet projections. When the state’s
first pension fund - the California State Teachers’ Retirement System -
was created in 1913, teachers who worked 30 years were paid a $500 annual
pension, the equivalent of about $10,500 annually now. Over the years, other
public pension systems were created and most were designed to pay public
servants about half their salary in retirement. In 1999 - at the height
of the economic boom - labor unions aggressively lobbied state lawmakers to
pass SB 400 - the “pension-boosting bill” - retroactively
boosting pensions for state employees and allowing them to retire at younger
ages with higher pensions. Then in 2003, the California
Supreme Court issued a ruling on a 1997 lawsuit allowing public employees to
use bonuses, clothing and auto allowances, unused vacation and other income
in calculating their pensions. Since then, government
agencies throughout the state have adopted similar plans and public employees
- whose pensions are usually based on the highest year’s pay - have
used a variety of methods to “spike” their pensions shortly
before retirement. Now, even as the number
of government workers collecting $100,000-plus pensions has skyrocketed in
recent years, the pension systems charged with dispersing their checks have
lost tens of billions of dollars in the stock and real estate markets. As a result, the amount
of taxpayer subsidies for these pension plans will have to be increased by
billions of dollars in the years ahead, requiring more tax increases and cuts
in public services. The nation’s
largest public pension fund, the California Public Employees’
Retirement System, has recently lost a third of its value, dropping from a
high of $253 billion in December 2007 to $181 billion as of June 30. Even before the historic
stock market downturn, the annual taxpayer contribution to the fund jumped
from $4.2 billion in 2003-04 to $7.2 billion last fiscal year. CalPERS spokesman Ed
Fong said the system is planning to meet with representatives from public
employee unions and its 26,000 member government agencies to discuss ways to
reduce costs to ensure retirees are paid the amounts owed them. Despite failed efforts
in recent years to reform the public pension and benefit systems, David
Crane, special adviser to the governor for jobs and economic growth, said a
growing number of Democrats and Republicans in Sacramento agree steps have to
be taken. While existing pensions
can’t be renegotiated, Crane said the governor plans this week to
propose several reforms, including less generous pension plans for newly
hired workers and increased retirement ages. “I think the
Legislature increasingly understands the nature of this problem,” Crane
said. “They have been issuing general obligation bonds regularly
without voter consent to pay these benefits. But now the programs they care
very deeply about are being shut down because we have to pay off these past
pension promises.” In the same way as
CalPERS recently lost a huge portion of its funds, the teachers system,
CalSTRS, has dropped by a third from a high of $172 billion in 2007 to $119
billion as of June 30. Even as taxpayer
contributions to the plan have grown from $1.9 billion in 2004 to $2.3
billion in 2008, CalSTRS now says closing the shortfall will require
legislative action to further increase contributions made by school
districts. Similarly, the
county’s taxpayer contribution to the Los Angeles County Employees
Retirement Association fund is expected to increase from $805 million this
year to $1.1 billion by 2011-12 as the fund has dropped in value since
mid-2007. But while county
officials are confident they can afford the increased costs, Parks, the Los
Angeles councilman, said the city’s pension funds are “seriously
in bad shape” and a rapidly growing proportion of the budget is going
to pay for pensions and retiree health care costs. In response, city
officials are drafting a change in the city charter that would allow for the creation
of a new, less generous pension plan for newly hired city workers. Assistant City
Administrative Officer Tom Coultas said the City Council could approve the
new plan for civilian employees, but any changes for police officers and
firefighters would require voter approval. 8/11/2009:
Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Energy Leader Detroit,
Mich. - Michigan just experienced its coldest July on record; global
temperatures haven’t risen in more than a decade; Great Lakes water
levels have resumed their 30-year cyclical rise (contrary to a decade of
media scare stories that they were drying up due to global warming), and
polls show that climate change doesn’t even make a list of Michigan
voters’ top-ten concerns. Yet
in an interview with the Detroit News Monday, Senator Debbie Stabenow (D.,
Mich.) - recently appointed to the Senate Energy Committee - made clear that
fighting the climate crisis is her top priority. “Climate
change is very real,” she confessed as she embraced cap and
trade’s massive tax increase on Michigan industry - at the same time
claiming, against all the evidence, that it would not lead to an increase in
manufacturing costs or energy prices. “Global warming creates
volatility. I feel it when I’m flying. The storms are more volatile. We
are paying the price in more hurricanes and tornadoes.” And
there are sea monsters in Lake Michigan. I can feel them when I’m
boating. [Aren’t you glad important decisions are
being made by people with such a deep understanding of science?] Read Parts 2 and 3 of Payne’s
Stabenow interview coverage at his blog here. 8/17/2009:
Editorial Commentary The Capital of Self-Interest Politicians are self interested, not altruistic In The Wealth Of
Nations, Adam Smith put forth the revolutionary concept that the individual
pursuit of self-interest promotes the good of society. By pursuing their own
interests, individuals support the good of society more effectively than when
they intend to promote social welfare. “It is not from
the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our
dinner, but from their regard to their own self-interest. We address
ourselves, not to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to
them of our own necessities but of their advantages,” Smith said. Today, politicians rail
against what they describe as the misplaced self-interest of investment
bankers, CEOs and other corporate executives. There are plenty to hold
responsible for the current economic malaise. Blame greedy Wall Street
executives who created dangerous financial derivatives. Blame greedy bankers
who took advantage of easy credit to grant mortgages that borrowers could not
afford. Blame the greedy borrowers themselves. This list missed one
important group: greedy politicians. If Adam Smith was
correct in surmising that we are all motivated by self-interest, then
“we” also includes politicians. If corporate executives can be
fairly described as motivated by money, power and prestige, the same
description applies to “public servants.” When Willie Sutton was
asked by the Federal Bureau of Investigation why he robbed banks, he famously
replied, “That’s where the money is.” Today, anyone seeking
money, power and prestige heads to Washington, D.C. That’s where the
money is. Tax What You Don’t Like For example, legislators
routinely increase the tax on cigarettes to reduce smoking, but argue that
increasing minimum wages will not decrease employment among low-wage workers.
They ignore how increasing the minimum wage makes it more difficult for
employers to justify the training costs necessary to make teenagers into
useful workers. Eliminating low-wage job
opportunities prevents lots of kids from gaining valuable job skills.
Lawmakers do not reduce poverty by getting teenagers and other part-time
workers fired or never hired in the first place. Kids need better basic
education and training, but they also need low-wage job opportunities for the
experience that will allow them to earn higher wages. Enlightened economic
policy would focus on ways to help workers earn maximum wages, not minimum
wages. Why is unenlightened
minimum-wage policy popular and invariably supported in Congress and state
legislatures and municipal councils? It isn’t credible to argue that
presumably well-intentioned politicians are simply ill-informed and
naïve about the link between rising minimum wages and higher teenage
unemployment. They don’t need to read government-provided unemployment
statistics to see the problem. Many are old enough to remember low-wage
assistance from carry-out kids at the grocery store, gas-pump jockeys, and
waiters and waitresses in popularly priced restaurants. So many of those jobs
are gone; do they ever wonder why? The legislative jihad
against minimum wage jobs continues because it is in the self interest of
politicians to kill such jobs. That’s how you increase the need for
public assistance and government-sponsored training programs for jobs that
don’t exist. Politicians prefer handouts to wages because recipients of
handouts are beholden to political providers. Public dependency grows when
the market system is forced to shrink. Car Swap Next we have the
Customer Assistance to Recycle and Save (CARS) program, charmingly referred
to as the Cash for Clunkers program. Available at registered new-car dealers
this summer, the now-$3 billion program provides U.S. government vouchers
valued at $3,500 to $4,500 when consumers destroy an eligible vehicle and
purchase a new one. Consumers who want to
take the family on a summer vacation, or buy food or back-to school clothing,
have to pay their own way, but those who want to buy a new car might be in
luck. If they meet political guidelines before the money runs out again, some
of their costs will be picked up by taxpayers. Sponsors want consumers
and taxpayers to believe that government aid will reduce new-car costs by a
commensurate amount, but whom are they kidding? Industry-provided rebates and
sales incentives are shrinking and prices are firming. This gift to consumers
is actually a gift to dealers and manufacturers and the United Auto
Workers’ union. The best thing that can be said about it is that
it’s a small gift -- most of the clunkers being traded in this summer
were going to be replaced soon anyway. They were clunkers, after all. Healthy Redistribution Looking ahead to the
fall, we have a whole host of politicians to thank for the pending reform of
our nation’s health-care system. Never mind the lack of evidence that
government is able to prudently control health-care costs (have you seen the
federal budget deficit lately?), or effectively direct future improvements in
health-care technology. Don’t even imagine
what the government manual looks like that describes brain surgery;
it’s hard enough to picture how government bureaucrats will decide who
does and doesn’t qualify for knee replacement, alcoholism treatment or
breast implants. As for the cost, in the
four decades we have had the Medicare and Medicaid programs, health-care
spending in the United States has more than tripled, from 5% to 16% of gross
domestic product. In the past half
century, federal outlays accounted for an average of 22.2% of GDP. The fiscal
2010 Obama budget boosts that to 27.2%. When health care is more fully
nationalized, federal outlays as a share of GDP will rise to 43.2% -- double
what they were in 2007. Politicians would have
us believe that this enormous grab for money, power and prestige has nothing
to do with political self interest. Taxpayers should remember the advice of
Adam Smith and Willie Sutton. After all, politicians are people, too. MARK HIRSCHEY is Anderson W. Chandler Professor of Business at the
University of Kansas 8/13/2009:
Tax Withholding Is Bad for Democracy America is supposed to
be a democracy in which we’re all in it together. Part of that ethos,
which has been so essential to the country in times of crisis, is a common
understanding that we all pay a share of the costs. Taxes are an essential
ingredient in the civic glue that binds us together. Our democracy is
corrupted when some voters think that they won’t have to pay for the
benefits their representatives offer them. It is corrupted when some voters
see themselves as victims of exploitation by their fellow citizens. By both standards,
American democracy is in trouble. We have the worst of both worlds. The
rhetoric of the president tells the public that the rich are not paying their
fair share, undermining the common understanding from the bottom up.
Meanwhile, the IRS recently released new numbers on who pays how much taxes,
and those numbers tell the people at the top that they’re being
exploited... ...This deforms the
behavior of everyone—the voters who think they aren’t paying for
Congress’s latest bright idea, the politicians who know that promising
new programs will always be a winning political strategy with the majority of
taxpayers who don’t think they have to pay for them, and the wealthy
who know that the only way to get politicians to refrain from that strategy
is to buy them off... 8/13/2009:
Historical Quotes “What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is
dearness only that gives every thing its value.” --Thomas Paine, The
American Crisis, No. 1, 1776 [sounds like a good argument against
free health care and all other forms of welfare] “Honor, justice, and humanity, forbid us tamely to surrender
that freedom which we received from our gallant ancestors, and which our
innocent posterity have a right to receive from us. We cannot endure the
infamy and guilt of resigning succeeding generations to that wretchedness
which inevitably awaits them if we basely entail hereditary bondage on them.”
--Thomas Jefferson [and this is an excellent argument against
government deficits and government intrusion into our lives] 8/12/2009:
Review & Outlook August 12, 2009, 4:25 P.M. ET Only nine states have the costly
rules that Obama wants to impose nationwide. The White House is
priming the defibrillator paddles to revive ObamaCare, and its new strategy
is to talk about “health-insurance reform,” rather than
“health-care reform.” The point is to make its proposals seem
less radical than they are, while portraying private insurers as villains for
supposedly denying coverage to the sick. Sounds like a good time
to explain a few facts about the modern insurance market. Start with the
reality that nine out of 10 people under 65 are covered by their employers,
most of which cover all employees and charge everyone the same rate.
President Obama’s horror stories are about the individual insurance
market, where some 15 million people buy coverage outside of the workplace. Mr. Obama does have a
point about insurance security. If you develop an expensive condition such as
cancer or heart disease, and then get fired or divorced or your employer goes
out of business—then individual insurance is going to be very expensive
if it’s available. But what the President and Democrats won’t
tell you is that these problems are the result mainly of government
intervention. Because the tax code
subsidizes private insurance only when it is sponsored by an employer, the
individual market is relatively small and its turnover rate is very high.
Most policyholders are enrolled for fewer than 24 months as they move between
jobs, making it difficult for insurers to maintain large risk pools to spread
costs. Mr. Obama wants to wave
away this reality with new regulations that prohibit “discrimination
against the sick”—specifically, by forcing insurers to cover
anyone at any time and at nearly uniform rates. But if insurers are forced to
sell coverage to everyone at any time, many people will buy insurance only
when they need medical care. This raises the cost of insurance for everyone
else, in particular those who are responsible enough to buy insurance before
they need it; they end up paying even higher premiums. And the more expensive
the insurance, the less likely people will buy it before they need it. That’s one reason
that only five states—Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York and
Vermont—have Mr. Obama’s proposal for “guaranteed
issue” on the books today. New Hampshire and Kentucky repealed such
laws after finding that they soon had an even smaller individual insurance
market as companies fled the state. Another proposed reform
known as “community rating” imposes uniform premiums regardless
of health condition. This also blows up the individual insurance market, by
making it far more expensive for young, healthy or low-risk consumers to join
pools—if they join at all. And if the healthy don’t join risk
pools, then premiums go up for everyone and insurers have little choice but
to reduce their risk by refusing to cover those who have a high chance of
getting sick, such as people with a history of cancer. This is why 35 states
today impose no limits whatsoever on how much insurers can vary premiums and
six states allow wide variation among consumers. New York, New Jersey and
Massachusetts have both community rating and guaranteed issue. And, no
surprise, they have the three most expensive individual insurance markets
among all 50 states, with premiums roughly two to three times higher than the
rest of the country. In 2007, the average annual premium in New Jersey was
$5,326 for singles and in New York $12,254 for a family, versus the national
average of $2,613 and $5,799, respectively. ObamaCare would impose New
York-type rates nationwide. There are better ways to
go. Tax credits to individuals to buy insurance would make it more affordable
and thus strengthen the individual market. Other tax rule changes could also make
it easier for people to join and form their own risk pools beyond their
employers, such as through business federations, labor unions or, say, the
Kiwanis Club. They would no longer be hostage to one job for insurance. University of Chicago
economist John Cochrane also argues that in a more rational individual
insurance market, people could insure not merely against medical expenses but
also against changes in health status. This kind of insurance would cover the
risk of premiums rising as you get older and your health condition changes. In turn, that would free
insurers to compete for the business of all patients, including those with
pre-existing conditions, because then they could charge enough to cover the
costs—instead of passing them to others. As for those with rare
conditions (“orphan diseases”) that require a lifetime of special
care and are thus uninsurable, this is where government subsidies could be
both appropriate and affordable. ObamaCare would impose
on all 50 states rules that have already proven to be failures in numerous
states. Because these mandates would raise the cost of insurance, ObamaCare
would then turn around and subsidize individuals to buy the insurance that
the politicians made more expensive. Only in government could such irrationality
be sold as “reform.” Copyright 2009 Dow Jones
& Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved 8/12/2009:
Obama’s healthcare horror ...I must confess my
dismay bordering on horror at the amateurism of the White House apparatus for
domestic policy. When will heads start to roll? I was glad to see the White
House counsel booted, as well as Michelle Obama’s chief of staff, and
hope it’s a harbinger of things to come... Obama seems to be surrounded
by juvenile tinhorns, bumbling mediocrities and crass bully boys. Case in point: the
administration’s grotesque mishandling of healthcare reform... But who would have
thought that the sober, deliberative Barack Obama would have nothing to
propose but vague and slippery promises -- or that he would so easily cede
the leadership clout of the executive branch to a chaotic, rapacious,
solipsistic Congress? House Speaker Nancy Pelosi... has clearly gone off the
deep end with her bizarre rants about legitimate town-hall protests by
American citizens. She is doing grievous damage to the party and should
immediately step down. There is plenty of blame
to go around. Obama’s aggressive endorsement of a healthcare plan that
does not even exist yet, except in five competing, fluctuating drafts, makes
Washington seem like Cloud Cuckoo Land... ...Both major parties have become a
rats’ nest of hypocrisy and incompetence... ...And what do Democrats
stand for, if they are so ready to defame concerned citizens as the
“mob” -- a word betraying a Marie Antoinette delusion of
superiority to ordinary mortals. I thought my party was populist, attentive
to the needs and wishes of those outside the power structure. And as a
product of the 1960s, I thought the Democratic party was passionately
committed to freedom of thought and speech. But somehow liberals have drifted
into a strange servility toward big government, which they revere as a
godlike foster father-mother who can dispense all bounty and magically heal
all ills. The ethical collapse of the left was nowhere
more evident than in the near total silence of liberal media and Web sites at
the Obama administration’s outrageous solicitation to private citizens
to report unacceptable “casual conversations” to the White House.
If Republicans had done this, there would have been an angry explosion by
Democrats from coast to coast. I was stunned at the failure of liberals to
see the blatant totalitarianism in this incident, which the president should
have immediately denounced. His failure to do so implicates him in it. As a libertarian and
refugee from the authoritarian Roman Catholic church of my youth, I simply do
not understand the drift of my party toward a soulless collectivism. This is
in fact what Sarah Palin hit on in her shocking image of a “death
panel” under Obamacare that would make irrevocable decisions about the
disabled and elderly. When I first saw that phrase, headlined on the Drudge
Report, I burst out laughing. It seemed so over the top! But on reflection, I
realized that Palin’s shrewdly timed metaphor spoke directly to the
electorate’s unease with the prospect of shadowy, unelected government
figures controlling our lives. A death panel not only has the power of life
and death but is itself a symptom of a Kafkaesque brave new world where
authority has become remote, arbitrary and spectral. And as in the Spanish
Inquisition, dissidence is heresy, persecuted and punished. Surely, the basic rule
in comprehensive legislation should be: First,
do no harm. [where have we heard that before?] The present proposals are
full of noble aims, but the biggest danger always comes from unforeseen and
unintended consequences. Example: the American incursion into Iraq, which
destabilized the region by neutralizing Iran’s rival and thus
enormously enhancing Iran’s power and nuclear ambitions. ...Quite frankly, the
president gives little sense of direct knowledge of medical protocols;
it’s as if his views are a tissue of hearsay and scattershot worst-case
scenarios... [Read All] 8/11/2009:
Obama’s Seven Deadly Political Sins
by John Hawkins In the early days of
Barack Obama’s presidency, his approval rating soared to dizzying
heights as many Americans thought we had entered a new era of hope, change,
unity, bipartisanship and uplifting speeches. Then, Obama moved on to actual
governance and suddenly, for the first time in his political career, he had
to primarily rely on his unproven leadership skills instead of his soaring
oratory. That hasn’t worked out so well for him because he has engaged
in seven deadly political sins: Partisanship: After 16 years of ugly
political battles during the Clinton and Bush presidencies, Americans were
ready for a President who’d actually be able to get Republicans and
Democrats to work together. Like McCain, who, love him or hate him, is a true
bipartisan reformer, Obama constantly talked about unity during the campaign.
However, once Obama was elected, the idea of cooperating with the other side
went right out the window. Republicans were locked out of having any
significant input on legislation as Obama decided to rely completely on his
own party to get his agenda passed. Typical of that attitude
is this statement from Obama: But I don’t want the folks who created the
mess to do a lot of talking. I want them to get out of the way so we can
clean up the mess. I don’t mind cleaning up after them, but don’t
do a lot of talking.” -- Barack Obama There’s nothing
new about ham-fisted partisanship in American politics, but if you practice
it after running a campaign where you repeat the word “unity” so
often that you sound like a parrot with a one word vocabulary, don’t
expect people to be happy with you. Racialism: Many Americans believed Barack
Obama’s election would lead the country into a post-racial world. After
all, Obama’s rhetoric during the campaign was very different from
previous “black leaders” like Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson.
Besides, if a black man could become President, how racist could the country
really be? However, that wonderful
dream has turned into a nightmare since Obama was elected. His supporters are
frivolously crying “racism” about everything from Obama Joker posters to Obamacare.
Obama’s Attorney General, Eric Holder, referred to America as “a nation of cowards“
on matters of race. Even the man himself waded into controversy by suggesting
race might be involved in the arrest of Henry Louis Gates
despite admitting that he didn’t know “all the facts.” The
last thing most Americans thought they were doing when they voted for Obama
was increasing how often the word “racist” was going to be
errantly tossed around. Lying: Bill Clinton was a shameless
liar, but he was smooth about it. There’s a reason so many people refer
to the man as “Slick Willie.” Obama, on the other hand, is so
confident that the media will stick by him that he will blatantly contradict
his earlier statements and just expect the press to simply cover for him.
While that’s exactly what happens most of the time, all it seems to be
doing over the long run is destroying the credibility of Obama and the
mainstream press at the same time. That’s because eventually, when Obama’s lies come to light,
they’re so flagrant that they’re almost impossible to ignore or
explain away. Radicalism: In America, distrust of
government is as American as apple pie and as sensible as locking your door
at night. So, when the government runs up unsustainable deficits, takes over
GM and Chrysler, and attempts to swallow our entire health care system,
people naturally get frightened and angry. That has a lot to do with the
outrage that we’re seeing at these Townhall meetings and it’s
definitely hurting Obama’s popularity. Liberalism: Most Americans thought Obama
had much more in common ideologically with Bill Clinton than Jimmy Carter.
However, instead of a President steering the ship of state a bit to the
left-of-center, Americans got a President who seems determined to take the
country as far to the Left as he can, as fast as he can, preferably without
any debate about the subject. Contrary to liberal opinion, this is a
center-right country. Most Americans don’t share the ideological views
of Ted Kennedy and they don’t want to see the United States turned into
Venezuela or the Soviet Union, circa 1975. That bodes ill for a man who has
already proven to be the most liberal President we’ve ever had in the
White House. Greed: In all fairness to Barack Obama, given
that the Left has what may be once in a lifetime margins in the House and
Senate, it makes a certain kind of sense to try to ram as much of their
agenda through as possible while the Right doesn’t have the numbers to
try and stop them. However, when you try to
sledgehammer through an enormous number of radical, extremely liberal bills
in a center right country that dislikes radicalism and rapid change,
you’re going to pay a steep price in popularity. It’s like the
old saying goes, “Pigs get fed, hogs get slaughtered.” Barack
Obama is being a hog about his agenda and he’s started to get
slaughtered at the polls as a result. Arrogance: Whether it’s Obama
smugly saying “I won“ to a
Republican who had concerns about handing out a “tax credit for people
who don’t pay income taxes” or his administration’s
willingness to openly admit that they were exploiting the economic crisis to
get Obama’s agenda through -- “Never let a serious crisis go to waste“
-- Obama’s presidency has been marked by a stunning pomposity. As Kathryn Jean Lopez noted,
“For Barack Obama, democracy appears to be a distraction. He really
does seem to view himself as a Caesar.” The American people want a
President who views himself as their servant, not a king who wants to lecture
the peasants about what he views as “teachable moments.” 8/10/2009:
I just read the May 2009 issue of Liberty
Magazine: The many faces of herding – The current recession is only one among many
examples of herding — following the crowd, jumping on bandwagons,
getting swept up in mass psychology. Each
of us gets only a tiny fraction of our knowledge from direct personal
experience. Most of it necessarily comes from other people, with their
enthusiasms and fears. Many people join in a speculative boom, as for tulip
bulbs in 17th-century Holland, or dotcom stocks in the recent history of the
United States, not because they themselves grasp underlying fundamentals but
because they assume that the supposed professionals know what they are doing. The
collapse of a mania for profit on houses triggered the current recession.
Arguably, that mania can be traced to irresponsible government promotion of
housing credit in many ways and over many decades, and more recently to
credit from excessively easy Federal Reserve policy. The bursting of the
bubble impinged on a financial system already rendered fragile by two types
of contagion. The
first, which we might call “structural,” involves multiple tiers
of securities and derivatives based on other securities based ultimately on
mortgage and other debt, as well as the financial leverage so sought. But a
second, closely related type is largely psychological: actual or rumored
losses of some firms devalue others, which are holding their debt, throwing
some into bankruptcy, intensifying a general panic, and driving investors into
supposedly safe assets (such as U.S. government securities). Even
today the U.S. economy remains “fundamentally strong” in the
sense that productive capacity survives, along with willing workers and
creative entrepreneurs. Millions of consumers would eagerly spend money if
only they could be confident of jobs, while thousands of companies would hire
or retain workers if only they could count on selling their products. Desires
to trade work and products for one another remain strong, but discoordination
keeps these desires from meshing. The
financial structure is a large part of the difficulty, certainly, but so is
an atmosphere of apprehension and fear, emphasized by a bearish stock market.
Gloom pervades the media; for, in contrast with routine prosperity, bad news
is, well, news. The president keeps threatening “catastrophe”
unless he gets his way on legislation. (As H.L. Mencken used to explain,
politicians thrive on promising salvation to a terrorized public.) Businesses
and consumers alike hesitate to spend money, prudently from their individual
points of view, yet intensifying each others’ distress. Measures to
“stimulate” spending seem plausible in the short run; yet
paradoxically, a record of profligacy and debt by both the public and the
government forms the long-run background of our woes. Bringing
pop psychology into diagnosing economic trouble may seem lowbrow and
imprecise. It lacks the cachet of high-powered abstract theory and
mathematical models. What does one do, though, if psychology really belongs
in the story? Furthermore,
“behavioral economics” is now gaining adherents and academic
respectability. That new field recognizes how decision makers depart from the
hyper-rationality postulated by standard theory, and depart in ways that may be
explained by natural selection operating on the human race many millennia
ago. As
I suggested at the start, herding and bandwagon effects are not confined to
strictly economic affairs. Politicians and ignorant celebrities and even
energy companies echo politically correct alarm over global warming to the
point where the rest of us can hardly know what to believe as solid science.
Many scientists accept grant money that they would hardly receive if they
expressed doubt over the very phenomenon to be investigated. Auburn
University recently announced that an entomologist who specializes in
butterflies has received a grant to study the impact of global warming on
butterflies. Being politically correct, the university has an Office of
Sustainability to reinforce pressures on people to change their behavior.
Dormitories are pushed to compete on cutting consumption of water and
electricity and who knows what else. Also following fashion, the university
has an Office of Diversity and Multicultural Affairs. The
War on Drugs as waged so far is lost. I do, however, applaud warning
teenagers, honestly and emphatically, about the dangers of drugs. Still, I am
squeamish about an approach being taken here in Auburn. Retailers are urged
(pressured?) to issue discount cards to teenagers who take a pledge to
abstain from drugs and submit to random testing. Doesn’t that carry
intrusiveness and presumptuousness too far? But
one thing is certain: anyone who tries to explain contemporary events, and
neglects the importance of herding and bandwagon effects, theorizes at his
own peril. – Leland Yeager 8/8/2009: We do not face a choice between methods of rationing
medical services. We face a choice between rationing according to a
bureaucratic plan and being freed to engage in mutually beneficial exchanges.
— Sheldon Richman, “The Market Doesn’t Ration Health
Care“ [August 7, 2009] Healthcare
reformers say they have two objectives: to enable the uninsured and
under-insured to consume more medical services than they consume now, and to
keep the prices of those services from rising, as they have been, faster than
the prices of other goods and services. Unfortunately, Economics 101 tells us
that to accomplish those two things directly — increased consumption by
one group and lower prices — the government would have to take a third
step: rationing. The reformers are disingenuous about this last step, and for
good reason. People don’t like rationing, especially of medical care. 8/7/2009: Violence breaks out in America’s
town halls over Obama’s health care reforms by David
Gardner ...President Obama said
on Wednesday that there will be an overhaul of the health care system before
the end of the year whether or not he has bipartisan support... [More proof that our president is an
arrogant asshole] 8/7/2009:Spitzer’s Incredible Shrinking Case [As I said years ago,
Eliot Spitzer is (or at least was) a menace to society. It is ironic that he
was ruined by committing a “crime” that should not be a crime,
but that he was adamant about enforcing. I wonder if he has changed his mind
about victimless crimes...and those high-paid call girls definitely were not
victims of their customers. On the other hand, they (and Eliot) were victims
of an obtrusive overbearing government of hypocrites.] Eliot Spitzer began the
destruction of AIG for this? Yesterday’s $15 million settlement between
the Securities and Exchange Commission and former AIG CEO Hank Greenberg
offers a healthy perspective on Mr. Spitzer’s second most embarrassing
case. In April of 2005, the former New York Attorney General filed fraud
charges in the TV court of George Stephanopoulos on ABC’s “This Week,”
but he never filed them in criminal court. More than four years
later, the federal government has decided that it cannot even make a civil
case for fraud against Mr. Greenberg, never mind a criminal one. The SEC has
essentially settled with Mr. Greenberg on the charge that he was the CEO at
the time that “material misstatements” in earnings occurred. Yet even if one accepts
the SEC’s view of events, it may be a stretch to call them material, as
they add up to less than 1% of AIG’s net income during the period at
issue. The accounting items in the SEC charges, which Mr. Greenberg neither
admits nor denies, represent less than 10% of the restatement AIG filed to
justify the Greenberg firing demanded by Mr. Spitzer. The impact on retained
earnings was roughly $250 million, when AIG’s total retained earnings
at the time were approaching $70 billion. AIG shareholders appear
to have been hurt far more by the company’s 2005 Spitzer-driven
earnings restatement than by Mr. Greenberg’s alleged failures as the
“control person” in charge when AIG booked improper items. And we
haven’t even gotten to the loss of AIG’s AAA credit-rating that
followed his Spitzer-dictated ouster, the new management’s decision to
go all-in on the U.S. housing market, or the failed regulation of AIG conducted
by the Spitzer-appointed New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo. Take only the $19
billion in losses that AIG suffered in its securities-lending business, the
result of decisions made after Mr. Greenberg’s firing and overseen by
Mr. Dinallo and other state regulators. More than 10 times the size of even
the padded settlement Mr. Spitzer demanded from AIG, these losses make the
charges against Mr. Greenberg seem almost quaint. Consider the subsequent
$173 billion in taxpayer assistance to AIG and the demolition of a great
American company, and it is nothing short of tragic. 8/6/2009:
Autocracy and the Decline of the Arabs
by FOUAD AJAMI ‘It
made me feel so jealous,” said Abdulmonem Ibrahim, a young Egyptian
political activist, of the recent upheaval in Iran. “We are amazed at
the organization and speed with which the Iranian movement has been
functioning. In Egypt you can count the number of activists on your
hand.” This degree of “Iran envy” is a telling statement on
the stagnation of Arab politics. It is not pretty, Iran’s upheaval, but
grant the Iranians their due: They have gone out into the streets to contest
the writ of the theocrats. In
contrast, little has stirred in Arab politics of late. The Arabs, by their
own testimony, have become spectators to their history. A struggle rages
between the Iranian theocracy and the Pax Americana for primacy in the
Persian Gulf and the Levant. The Arabs have the demography—360 million
people by latest count—and the wealth to balance Iran’s power.
But they have taken a pass in the hope that America—or Israel, for that
matter—would shatter the Iranian bid for hegemony. We
are now in the midst of one of those periodic autopsies of the Arab
condition. The trigger is the publication last month of the Arab Human
Development Report 2009, the fifth of a series of reports by the by the
United Nations Development Program (UNDP) on the state of the contemporary Arab
world. The
first of these reports, published in 2002, was treated with deference. A
group of Arab truth-tellers, it was believed, had broken with the evasions
and the apologetics to tell of the sordid condition of Arab society—the
autocratic political culture, the economic stagnation, the cultural decay. So
all Arabs combined had a smaller manufacturing capacity than Finland with its
five million people, and a vast Arabic-speaking world translated into Arabic
a fifth of the foreign books that Greece with its 11 million people
translates. With all the oil in the region, tens of millions of Arabs were
living below the poverty line. Little
has altered in the years separating the first of these reports from the most
recent. A huge oil windfall came into the region, and it was better handled,
it has to be conceded, than earlier oil windfalls. But on balance the grief
of the Arabs has deepened, and the autocracies are yet to be brought to
account. They remain unloved, but they remain in the saddle. In
a clever turn of phrase, The Economist recently wrote of an Arab Rip Abu
Winkle awakening from a slumber into which he had fallen in the early 1980s
to marvel at how little has changed. He would find Hosni Mubarak still at the
helm in Cairo, the policeman Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali in Tunisia, and Moammar
Gadhafi in Libya. He would miss Hafez Assad in Damascus, but he would be
reassured that his son Bashar had inherited his father’s dominion. He
would of course find the same dynasties in Jordan and in the Arab states of the
Peninsula and the Gulf. Wily
rulers, the men at the helm may have failed their peoples. They may have
denied them decent educational systems. They may not have figured out a way
into the modern world economy. But they have mastered the art of political survival.
“He who eats the sultan’s bread, fights with the sultan’s
sword,” goes an Arabic maxim. The economic dominance of the rulers, the
absence of the countervailing power of property and the private sector, has
increased the awesome power of the governments and their security
establishments. It
is no mystery, this sorrowful decline of the Arabs. They have invested their
hopes in states, and the states have failed. According to the UNDP’s
report, government revenues as percentage of GDP are 13% in Third World
Countries, but they are 25% in the Middle East and North Africa. The oil
states are a world apart in that regard: the comparable figures are 68% in
Libya, 45% in Saudi Arabia, and 40% in Algeria, Kuwait and Qatar. Oil is no
panacea for these lands. The unemployment rates for the Arab world as a whole
are the highest in the world, and no prophecy could foresee these societies
providing the 51 million jobs the UNDP report says are needed by 2020 to
“absorb young entrants to the labor force who would otherwise face an
empty future.” The
simple truth is that the Arab world has terrible rulers and worse
oppositionists. There are autocrats on one side and theocrats on the other. A
timid and fragile middle class is caught in the middle between regimes it abhors
and Islamists it fears. Indeed,
the technocrats and intellectuals associated with these development reports
are themselves no angels. On the whole, they are unreconstructed Arab
nationalists. The patrons of these reports are the likes of the Algerian diplomat
Lakhdar Brahimi and the Palestinian leader Hanan Ashrawi, intellectuals and
public figures whose stock-in-trade is presumed Western (read American) guilt
for the ills that afflict the Arabs. Anti-Americanism suffuses this report,
as it did the earlier ones. There
is cruelty and plunder aplenty in the Arab world, but these writers are
particularly exercised about Iraq. “This intervention polarized the
country,” they say of Iraq. This is a myth of the Arabs who are yet to grant
the Iraqis the right to their own history: There had been a secular culture
under the Baath, they insist, but the American war begot the sectarianism. To
go by this report, Iraq is a place of mayhem and plunder, a land where
militias rule uncontested. For
decades, it was the standard argument of the Arabs that America had cast its
power in the region on the side of the autocrats. In Iraq in 2003, and then
in Lebanon, an American president bet on the freedom of the Arabs. George W.
Bush’s freedom agenda broke with a long history and insisted that the
Arabs did not have tyranny in their DNA. A despotism in Baghdad was toppled,
a Syrian regime that had all but erased its border with Lebanon was pushed
out of its smaller neighbor, bringing an end to three decades of brutal
occupation. The “Cedar Revolution” that erupted in the streets of
Beirut was but a child of Bush’s diplomacy of freedom. Arabs
know this history even as they say otherwise, even as they tell the pollsters
the obligatory things about America the pollsters expect them to say. True,
Mr. Bush’s wager on elections in the Palestinian territories rebounded
to the benefit of Hamas. But the ballot is not infallible, and the verdict of
that election was a statement on the malignancies of Palestinian politics. It
was no fault of American diplomacy that the Palestinians, who needed to break
with a history of maximalist demands, gave in yet again to radical
temptations. Now
the Arabs are face to face with their own history. Instead of George W. Bush
there is Barack Hussein Obama, an American leader pledged to a foreign policy
of “realism.” The Arabs express fondness for the new American
president. In his fashion (and in the fashion of their world and their
leaders, it has to be said) President Obama gave the Arabs a speech in Cairo
two months ago. It was a moment of theater and therapy. The speech delivered,
the foreign visitor was gone. He had put another marker on the globe, another
place to which he had taken his astounding belief in his biography and his
conviction that another foreign population had been wooed by his oratory and
weaned away from anti-Americanism. The
crowd could tell itself that the new standard-bearer of the Pax Americana was
a man who understood its concerns, but the embattled modernists and the
critics of autocracy knew better. There is no mistaking the animating drive
of the new American policy in that Greater Middle East: realism and benign
neglect, the safety of the status quo rather than the risks of liberty. (If
in doubt, the Arabs could check with their Iranian neighbors. The Persians
would tell them of the new mood in Washington.) One
day an Arab chronicle could yet be written, and like all Arab chronicles, it
would tell of woes and missed opportunities. It would acknowledge that brief
interlude when American power gave Arab autocracies a scare, and when a
despotism in Baghdad and a brutal “brotherly” occupation in
Beirut were laid to waste. The chroniclers would have to be an honest lot.
They would speak the language of daily life, and the truths that Arabs have
seen and endured in recent years. On that day, the “human development
reports” would be discarded, their writers seen for the purveyors of
double-speak and half-truths they were. —Mr.
Ajami, a professor at the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns
Hopkins University and an adjunct fellow at Stanford University’s
Hoover Institution, is the author, among other books, of “The Arab
Predicament: Arab Political Thought and Practice since 1967 (Cambridge
University Press, 1981).Printed in The Wall Street Journal, page A13 8/5/2009: Who May Harm Whom? by
Walter E. Williams “No one has a
right to harm another.” Just a little thought, along with a few
examples, would demonstrate that blanket statement as pure nonsense. Suppose
there is a beautiful lady that both Jim and Bob are pursuing. If Jim wins her
hand, Bob is harmed. By the same token, if Bob wins her hand, Jim is harmed.
Whose harm is more important and should the beautiful lady be permitted to
harm either Bob or Jim are nonsense questions. During the 1970s, when
Hewlett-Packard and Texas Instruments came out with scientific calculators,
great harm was suffered by slide rule manufacturers such as Keuffel &
Esser, and Pickett. Slide rulers have since gone the way of the dodo but the
question is: Should Hewlett-Packard and Texas Instruments have been permitted
to inflict such grievous harm on slide rule manufacturers? In 1927, General
Electric successfully began marketing the refrigerator. The ice industry, a
major industry and the livelihoods of thousands of workers, was destroyed
virtually overnight. Should such harm have been permitted and what should
Congress have done to save jobs in the slide rule and ice industries? The first thing we
should acknowledge is that we live in a world of harms. Harm is reciprocal.
For example, if the government stopped Hewlett-Packard and Texas Instruments
from harming Keuffel & Esser and Pickett, or stopped General Electric
from harming ice producers, by denying them the right to manufacture
calculators and refrigerators, they would have been harmed, plus the billions
of consumers who benefited from calculators and refrigerators. There is no
scientific or intelligent way to determine which person’s harm is more
important than the other. That means things are more complicated than saying
that one person has no rights to harm another. We must ask which harms are to
be permitted in a free society and are not to be permitted. For example,
it’s generally deemed acceptable for me to harm you by momentarily
disturbing your peace and quiet by driving a motorcycle past your house.
It’s deemed unacceptable for me to harm you by tossing a brick through
your window. In a free society, many
conflicting harms are settled through the institution of private property
rights. Private property rights have to do with rights belonging to the
person deemed owner of property to keep, acquire, use and dispose of property
as he deems fit so long as he does not violate similar rights of another.
Let’s say that you are offended, possibly harmed, by bars that play
vulgar rap music and permit smoking. If you could use government to outlaw
rap music and smoking in bars, you would be benefited and people who enjoyed
rap music and smoking would be harmed. Again, there is no scientific or
intelligent way to determine whose harm is more important. In a free society,
the question of who has the right to harm whom, by permitting rap music and
smoking, is answered by the property rights question: Who owns the bar? In a
socialistic society, such conflicting harms are resolved through government
intimidation and coercion. What about the right to
harm oneself, such as the potential harm that can come from not wearing a
seatbelt. That, too, is a property rights question. If you own yourself, you
have the right to take chances with your own life. Some might argue that if
you’re not wearing a seatbelt and wind up a vegetable, society has to
take care of you; therefore, the fascist threat “click it or
ticket.” Becoming a burden on society is not a problem of liberty and
private property. It’s a problem of socialism where one person is
forced to take care of someone else. That being the case, the government, in
the name of reducing health care costs, assumes part ownership of you and as
such assumes a right to control many aspects of your life. That Americans
have joyfully given up self-ownership is both tragic and sad. 8/4/2009: Care Versus Control by
Thomas Sowell As someone who was once
rushed to a hospital in the middle of the night, because of taking a
medication that millions of people take every day without the slightest
problem, I have a special horror of life and death medical decisions being
made by bureaucrats in Washington, about patients they have never laid eyes
on. On another occasion, I
was told by a doctor that I would have died if I had not gotten to him in
time, after an allergic reaction to eating one of the most healthful foods
around. On still another occasion, I was treated with a medication that
causes many people big problems and was urged to come back to the hospital
immediately if I had a really bad reaction. But I had no reaction at all,
went home, felt fine and slept soundly through the night. My point is that
everybody is different. Millions of children eat peanut butter sandwiches
every day but some children can die from eating peanut butter. Some vaccines
and medications that save many lives can also kill some people. Are decisions made by
doctors who have treated the same patient for years to be over-ruled by
bureaucrats sitting in front of computer screens in Washington, following
guidelines drawn up with the idea of “bringing down the cost of medical
care”? The idea is even more
absurd than the idea that you can add millions of people to a government
medical care plan without increasing the costs. It is also more dangerous. What is both dangerous
and mindless is rushing a massive new medical care scheme through Congress so
fast that members of Congress do not even have time to read it before voting
on it. Legislation that is far less sweeping in its effects can get months of
hearings before Congressional committees, followed by debates in the Senate
and the House of Representatives, with all sorts of people voicing their
views in the media and in letters to Congress, while ads from people on both
sides of the issue appear in newspapers and on television. If this new medical
scheme is so wonderful, why can’t it stand the light of day or a little
time to think about it? The obvious answer is
that the administration doesn’t want us to know what it is all about or
else we would not go along with it. Far better to say that we can’t
wait, that things are just too urgent. This tactic worked with whizzing the
“stimulus” package through Congress, even though the stimulus
package itself has not worked. Any serious discussion
of government-run medical care would have to look at other countries where
there is government-run medical care. As someone who has done some research
on this for my book “Applied Economics,” I can tell you that the
actual consequences of government-controlled medical care is not a pretty
picture, however inspiring the rhetoric that accompanies it. Thirty thousand
Canadians are passing up free medical care at home to go to some other
country where they have to pay for it. People don’t do that without a
reason. But Canadians are better
off than people in some other countries with government-controlled medical
care, because they have the United States right next door, in case their
medical problems get too serious to rely on their own system. But where are Americans
to turn if we become like Canada? Where are we to go when we need better
medical treatment than Washington bureaucrats will let us have? Mexico? The
Caribbean? Many people do not
understand that it is not just a question of whether government bureaucrats
will agree to pay for particular medical treatments. The same
government-control mindset that decides what should and should not be paid
for can also decide that the medical technology or pharmaceutical drugs that
they control should not be for sale to those who are willing to pay their own
money. Right now, medications
or treatments that have not been approved by the Food and Drug Administration
are medications or treatments that you are not allowed to buy with your own
money, no matter how desperate your medical condition, and no matter how many
years these medications or treatments may have been used without dire effects
in other countries. The crucial word is not
“care” but “control.” 8/4/2009:
Sgt. Crowley: You’re No Joe the Plumber by Robert Ringer Obama’s
“Beer Summit” was yet another stupid distraction from the reality
that his czars, thug-o-crats, and progressive supporters in Congress are
moving quickly to shove us into the socialist cage and slam the door shut
before another election can take place. Thankfully, most people didn’t
buy into this sideshow, seeing it as just another asinine, arrogant attempt
to bolster his good-guy image. Francis
Reilly, president of Reilly Communications Inc., described Obama’s
cheap theatrics this way: “Roosevelt had his Malta, Obama has his
Malt.” If BHO didn’t have bad intentions, you’d be tempted
to dismissively chuckle at his childish antics. Having
said that, and even though BHO’s poll numbers are sinking, it’s
scary to contemplate the number of bamboozled Americans who still don’t
get it. Rush Limbaugh had the courage to say it straight out in a recent
interview with Greta: “This is a bad guy.” Now that’s what
I call candid. Every
time the man looks into a camera, snickers, and waves aside those who resist
going along with his Marxist agenda as obstructionists or extremists, it
makes me realize what an amateur liar Bill Clinton was. Obama is the real
deal - Fidel, Mao, and Lenin rolled into one. Or, even worse, how about Pelosi,
Reid, and Frank rolled into one? But
I digress. Back to the world-shaking Beer Summit. I’m in the minority
on this, but I feel compelled to say what no one else seems to be willing to
say: Police Sgt. James Crowley was a major disappointment, for two reasons. First,
he didn’t have the courage, self-discipline, or dignity to say no to
Obama’s invitation. Let’s be honest here. Apparently the thrill
of being thrust into the limelight - visiting the White House as a guest of
the president of the United States - was simply too much for him to resist. Now
you might be thinking, “Given similar circumstances, I’ll bet
Robert Ringer would have sold out too.” If so, you’re wrong. I
can’t prove it, but I’m positive I would not have lowered myself
to buttress the president’s image by being part of yet another cheap
BHO campaign stunt. And,
quite frankly, I’d be willing to bet that most of you folks reading
this article would not have sold out either. After all, you’re Voice of
Sanity subscribers! Fifteen
minutes of fame is okay, I guess. I understand the desire to get attention,
but I understand the need to stick to one’s principles even more. There
are some things that are far more important than a brief moment of feeling
important. Like,
for example, a little something called liberty. BHO is a well-documented
lifetime hater of capitalism and individual sovereignty who is in the process
of keeping his campaign promise to “remake America.” Why in the
world would you want to help him continue to mesmerize those remaining
supporters whose eyes are still glazed over from Inauguration Day euphoria? Sgt.
Crowley could have been a hero to millions of fed up Americans - especially
those who now realize they were had in the last election - if he’d
simply responded, “Thanks, but no thanks.” Wow! Can you imagine
what a message that would have sent to the country? Crowley would have been
immortalized had he said something like: While
I mean no disrespect, I have decided to decline the president’s
invitation to have a beer at the White House and talk things over with
someone who violated the law and caused me to have to arrest him. I have a
job to do, and I have neither the time to go to Washington, nor an interest
in going, for what is obviously a PR stunt. Enough
taxpayer money has already been wasted, and I don’t want to be a party
to wasting even more on flying me and others to Washington to talk things
over. The only thing that matters here is that I carried out my duty as a
police officer in a professional manner, so there is nothing to discuss. Contrary
to what the media and the White House seem to believe, this is not a national
news story. And now, if you’ll excuse me, I have to get back to work. Those
comments would have ensconced Sgt. Crowley in the Teabagger Hall of Fame alongside
Joe the Plumber! The
second reason Sgt. Crowley was a disappointment is that, at his post-summit
press conference (yawn), he came across as an amateur politician reading
comments that sounded suspiciously like they were prepared by someone else. I
won’t try to guess who that someone else might be. What
came out of his mouth was a make-nice conglomeration of words cut in the BHO
mold - tiptoeing gingerly, careful not to say anything emotive or politically
incorrect. For me, it was a real turnoff. I would rather have listened to
Louis Farrakhan or Reverend Wright. At least they’re entertaining - and
straightforward about their views. And
then, of course, came the questions from the media puppies. While I respect
police officers who don’t use their badges to bully citizens, how many
more times do we have to watch one of these star-struck lawmen hold a press
conference and say to the salivating press, “Yes, in the back there ...
your question?” I
have this uncomfortable feeling that every police chief in the U.S. is
waiting patiently for a “nationwide” story to hit his district so
he can get behind the mic [sic] and show his reality-TV stuff. Enough!
It’s time for all of us to get back to work. Fighting progressive
fascists is a full-time job for those of us who cherish liberty. Let’s
hope the prez with the chip on his shoulder and the fake smile keeps wasting
his time on ever more campaign schmaltz so the rest of us will have time to
spread the truth about universal health care, cap and trade, and the Marxist
agenda that he is close to having securely in place. Oh
... and by the way ... if you happen to have the president’s ear, you
might mention to him that Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, and Russia - not to
mention several million terrorists around the world - are still causing, and
plotting, mischief for the U.S. Perhaps we need a Mischief Czar? If so, I
would like to take this opportunity to nominate Joe the Plumber. 8/4/2009: Teeing Up the Middle Class Few
of President Obama’s 2008 campaign pledges were more definitive than
his vow that anyone making less than $250,000 a year “will not see
their taxes increase by a single dime” if he was elected. And he was
right, very strictly speaking: It’s going to be many, many, many
billions of dimes. Asked
about raising taxes on the middle class on Sunday on CBS’s “Face
the Nation,” White House economist Larry Summers wouldn’t repeat
Mr. Obama’s pre-election promise. “It is never a good idea to
absolutely rule things out no matter what,” Mr. Summers
said—except, apparently, when his boss is running for office.
Meanwhile, on ABC’s “This Week,” Treasury Secretary Timothy
Geithner also slid around Mr. Obama’s vow and said, “We have to
bring these deficits down very dramatically. And that’s going to
require some very hard choices.” These
aren’t even non-denial denials. The Obama advisers are laying the
groundwork for taxing the middle class while claiming the deficit made them
do it. The
liberal establishment is even further along in finally admitting that Mr.
Obama wasn’t, er, telling the truth. A piece in the New York Times over
the weekend declared in a headline that “the Rich Can’t Pay for
Everything, Analysts Say.” And it quoted Leonard Burman, a veteran of
the Clinton Treasury who now runs the Brookings Tax Policy Center, as saying
that “This idea that everything new that government provides ought to
be paid for by the top 5%, that’s a basically unstable way of
governing.” They’re right, but where were they during the
campaign? In
an editorial on February 26, “The 2% Illusion,” we wrote that the
feds could take 100% of the taxable income of everyone in America earning
more than $500,000 and still have raised only $1.3 trillion even in the boom
year of 2006. The rich are fewer and less rich now, while the Obama budget is
nearly $4 trillion. Democrats
already plan to repeal the Bush tax cuts, but that won’t raise enough
money. So they’re proposing an income tax surcharge on “the
wealthy,” but that won’t raise enough either. Democrats have no
choice but to soak the middle class because only they have enough money to
finance the liberal dream of yoking the middle class to cradle-to-grave
government entitlements. Democrats
have already taxed the middle class by raising cigarette taxes to pay for the
children’s health-care expansion. They’re also teeing up average
earners with their cap-and-tax energy bill. Mr. Obama had hoped that
cap-and-tax would raise some $646 billion over a decade, but Democrats in the
House had to give most of that away in bribes to business to pass their bill.
To finance ObamaCare, they’re also proposing another
10-percentage-point increase in the payroll tax on firms and individuals that
don’t purchase health insurance. But this won’t raise enough
money either. So
waiting in the wings is the biggest middle-class tax increase of them all: a
European-style value added tax, or VAT. This tax would apply to every level
of production or service, and it is beloved by politicians in Europe because
it raises so much money so easily without voters noticing. Ezekiel Emanuel, a
White House aide and brother of Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, has advocated a
10% VAT to finance national health care. Look for a VAT to be one of the
prominent options when Mr. Obama’s tax reform commission issues its
report later this year. The
undeniable reality is that you can’t run a European-style
welfare-entitlement state without European-style levels of taxation on the
middle class (and eventually without low European-style growth and high
jobless rates). It’s looking more and more like Mr. Obama’s
no-middle-class-tax pledge was one of the greatest confidence tricks in
American political history. 8/4/2009: Utopia Versus Freedom by Thomas Sowell “Eternal
vigilance is the price of freedom.” We have heard that many times. What
is also the price of freedom is the toleration of imperfections. If
everything that is wrong with the world becomes a reason to turn more power
over to some political savior, then freedom is going to erode away, while we
are mindlessly repeating the catchwords of the hour, whether
“change,” “universal health care” or “social
justice.” If
we can be so easily stampeded by rhetoric that neither the public nor the
Congress can be bothered to read, much less analyze, bills making massive
changes in medical care, then do not be surprised when life and death
decisions about you or your family are taken out of your hands— and out
of the hands of your doctor— and transferred to bureaucrats in
Washington. Let’s
go back to square one. The universe was not made to our specifications. Nor
were human beings. So there is nothing surprising in the fact that we are
dissatisfied with many things at many times. The big question is whether we
are prepared to follow any politician who claims to be able to
“solve” our “problem.” If
we are, then there will be a never ending series of “solutions,”
each causing new problems calling for still more “solutions.”
That way lies a never-ending quest, costing ever increasing amounts of the
taxpayers’ money and— more important— ever greater losses
of your freedom to live your own life as you see fit, rather than as
presumptuous elites dictate. Ultimately,
our choice is to give up Utopian quests or give up our freedom. This has been
recognized for centuries by some, but many others have not yet faced that
reality, even today. If you think government should “do
something” about anything that ticks you off, or anything you want and
don’t have, then you have made your choice between Utopia and freedom. Back
in the 18th century, Edmund Burke said, “It is no inconsiderable part
of wisdom, to know much of an evil ought to be tolerated” and “I
must bear with infirmities until they fester into crimes.” But
today’s crusading zealots are not about to tolerate evils or
infirmities. If
insurance companies are not behaving the way some people think they should,
then their answer is to set up a government bureaucracy to either control
insurance companies or replace them. If
doctors, hospitals or pharmaceutical companies charge more than some people
feel like paying, then the answer is price control. The actual track record
of politicians, government bureaucracies, or price control is of no interest
to those who think this way. Politicians
are already one of the main reasons why medical insurance is so expensive.
Insurance is designed to cover risks but politicians are in the business of
distributing largesse. Nothing is easier for politicians than to mandate
things that insurance companies must cover, without the slightest regard for
how such additional coverage will raise the cost of insurance. If
insurance covered only those things that most people are most concerned
about— the high cost of a major medical expense— the price would
be much lower than it is today, with politicians piling on mandate after
mandate. Since
insurance covers risks, there is no reason for it to cover annual checkups,
because it is known in advance that annual checkups occur once a year.
Automobile insurance does not cover oil changes, much less the purchase of
gasoline, since these are regular recurrences, not risks. But
politicians in the business of distributing largesse— especially with
somebody else’s money— cannot resist the temptation to pass laws
adding things to insurance coverage. Many of those who are pushing for more
government involvement in medical care are already talking about extending
insurance coverage to “mental health”— which is to say,
giving shrinks and hypochondriacs a blank check drawn on the federal treasury. There
are still some voices of sanity today, echoing what Edmund Burke said long
ago. “The study of human institutions is always a search for the most
tolerable imperfections,” according to Prof. Richard Epstein of the
University of Chicago. If you cannot tolerate imperfections, be prepared to
kiss your freedom goodbye. To
find out more about Thomas Sowell and read features by other Creators
Syndicate columnists and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page
at www.creators.com. Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover
Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. His Web site is http://www.tsowell.com. COPYRIGHT
2009 CREATORS.COM. 8/3/2009: Pay Your Teachers Well The
conflicting interests of teachers unions and students is an underreported
education story, so we thought we’d highlight two recent stories in Baltimore
and New York City that illustrate the problem. The
Ujima Village Academy is one of the best public schools in Baltimore and all
of Maryland. Students at the charter middle school are primarily low-income
minorities; 98% are black and 84% qualify for free or reduced-price school
meals. Yet Ujima Village students regularly outperform the top-flight
suburban schools on state tests. In 2006, 2007 and 2008, Ujima Village
students earned the highest eighth-grade math scores in Maryland. Started in
2002, the school has met or exceeded state academic standards every
year—a rarity in a city that boasts one of the lowest-performing school
districts in the country. Ujima
Village is part of the KIPP network of charter schools, which now extends to
19 states and Washington, D.C. KIPP excels at raising academic achievement
among disadvantaged children who often arrive two or three grade-levels
behind in reading and math. KIPP educators cite longer school days and a
longer school year as crucial to their success. At KIPP schools, kids start
as early as 7:30 a.m., stay as late as 5 p.m., and attend school every other
Saturday and three weeks in the summer. However,
Maryland’s charter law requires teachers to be part of the union. And
the Baltimore Teachers Union is demanding that the charter school pay its
teachers 33% more than other city teachers, an amount that the school says it
can’t afford. Ujima Village teachers are already paid 18% above the
union salary scale, reflecting the extra hours they work. To meet the union
demands, the school recently told the Baltimore Sun that it has staggered
staff starting times, shortened the school day, canceled Saturday classes and
laid off staffers who worked with struggling students. For teachers unions,
this outcome is a victory; how it affects the quality of public education in
Baltimore is beside the point. Meanwhile,
in New York City, some public schools have raised money from parents to hire
teaching assistants. Last year, the United Federation of Teachers filed a
grievance about the hiring, and city education officials recently ordered an
end to the practice. “It’s hurting our union members,” said
a UFT spokesman, even though it’s helping kids and saving taxpayers
money. The aides typically earned from $12 to $15 an hour. Their unionized
equivalents cost as much as $23 an hour, plus benefits. “School
administrators said that hiring union members not only would cost more, but
would also probably bring in people with less experience,” reported the
New York Times. Many of the teaching assistants hired directly by schools had
graduate degrees in education and state teaching licenses, while the typical
unionized aide lacks a four-year degree. The
actions of the teachers unions in both Baltimore and New York make sense from
their perspective. Unions exist to advance the interests of their members.
The problem is that unions present themselves as student advocates while
pushing education policies that work for their members even if they leave
kids worse off. Until school choice puts more money and power in the hands of
parents, public education will continue to put teachers ahead of students. Printed
in The Wall Street Journal, page A10 8/3/2009: The Spending Party Must End by Thomas G.
Donlan FOR
NEARLY TWO DECADES, AMERICANS HAVE had their cake and eaten it with gusto, in
the form of grand houses and fancy toys. They paid the bakers with paper
profits from a stock-market boom and a real-estate boom, both now busted. Who
believes that Americans should have another helping? Those who say that the
stimulus of government deficit-spending has already begun to work; those who
say it’s about to start working; those who say it hasn’t worked,
so we need a third round of stimulus spending. Straddling
the three categories, President Barack Obama said last week: “We may be
seeing the beginning of the end of the recession.” He added: “We
have stopped the free fall. The market is up and the financial system is no
longer on the verge of collapse. We’re losing jobs at half the rate we
were when I took office six months ago.” Jumping
the gun by a few months at least, a news magazine flatly declared on its
cover, “The recession is over.” Unemployment
may be a problem a while longer, and there are many more underwater houses on
which banks must foreclose. Happy Days Aren’t Quite Here Again, and the
time is not far off when most Americans will expect a third helping of
dessert. The
Noisy Majority A
famous Carl Rose New Yorker cartoon from 1928 comes to mind. The well-dressed
mother says “It’s broccoli, dear,” and the curly-haired
little girl replies, “I say it’s spinach, and I say the hell with
it.” She probably wanted cake. The
party in power believes that Americans can eat their cake and have it, too,
just as the other party did when it was in power. (The cake party is always
in power.) The U.S. government enacted a $152 billion stimulus-spending
measure in 2008 and a $787 billion dose in 2009. For 2010, it could be $1.4
trillion or $3.2 trillion or $7.5 trillion, depending on whether the growth
is additive, multiplicative or exponential. Spinach
-- accepting the failure of many borrowers and lenders and waiting for the
recession to restore balance to the economy -- is not an option. The
cake party also is running most of the other economies that matter in the
world. Almost every government is borrowing heavily to spend on their
politicians’ pet projects -- the same projects that they could not
stretch their budgets to include when times were good and tax revenues were
ample. It should make us wonder just how useful those “shovel-ready”
projects really are. Of
course, they were hardly shovel-ready. Less than 20% of the $787 billion has
been spent. The Department of Transportation, for example, is supposed to
manage $48 billion in stimulus spending. Projects amounting to about $22
billion have been approved, and $967 million has been spent. The
Price of Greatness To
the cake party and its tub-thumpers, the need for public spending is always
justified; it just can’t be pushed through except in times of economic
crisis. Whether
times are good or bad, nostalgic American historians cruise the countryside
admiring the parks and campgrounds created by “the CCC boys,” who
had been plucked from lives of despair to work for the common good in the
Civilian Conservation Corps. They praise the travel books and plays procured
by the Federal Writers’ Project. They delight in the cheap power
produced by federal dam projects, the cheap pensions produced by Social
Security and the cheap loans for postwar houses produced by Fannie Mae and
its ilk. It’s
often overlooked that most of the great works of the so-called Greatest
Generation would never have been built in the absence of the greatest
depression and the greatest war in history. Sensible people would not
consider a new crisis to be a new opportunity. We built because we had
destroyed. We shouldn’t be happy about the current destruction, no
matter what we build on the rubble. The
opportunity for government spending has expanded again to meet desires that
always existed in the platforms of the cake party. The plan to create
“green jobs” and destroy dirty ones predates the current
financial crisis. The movement to rebuild public infrastructure rather than
sell it off pre-dates the last three economic downturns. Energy subsidies for
energy production got started at least 80 years ago. The cake-eaters have
been arguing only about who gets the next serving. Cake-party
economists find their best opportunities in a crisis. They drag out the
Keynesian doctrines that they ignored when times were booming, and say that
now things are very different. They never acted to suppress excessive demand
when it ignited a stock-market skyrocket or launched a hot-air balloon in
housing. But now they are certain that demand is insufficient, because they
can see unemployment. They say government can and must add to demand in order
to bring back full employment. President
Obama explained it this way a few months ago: “It is expected that
we are going to lose about a trillion dollars’ worth of demand this
year, a trillion dollars of demand next year because of the contraction in
the economy. So the reason that this has to be big is to try to fill some of
that lost demand.” The question he dodged is, where did that demand go?
The answer is that it was satisfied on credit over the last 16 years. Now the
bills must be paid. A
Time Out for Saving Unfortunately,
public-sector demand is not something kept on a shelf for emergencies, like
bottled water. The resources that pay the public sector’s bills for
creating artificial demand must be taxed or borrowed or created out of thin
air with inflation. Government spends at the expense of taxpayers, at the
expense of alternative investments in the private sector, or at the expense
of all savers, lenders and investors. Stimulus
spending is like juggling. A juggler can keep many flaming torches in the
air, but he can’t repeal the law of gravity. When the juggler tires,
relaxes or makes a mistake, the torches fall down. Stimulated economies are
like frogs in a high school biology lab. They kick as long as the wires are
attached, but they are just as dead after the experiment is over. America
had its cake, it had its student biologists zapping dead frogs, it had its
jugglers tossing torches. All that remains are taxes, borrowing and
inflation. Editorial
Page Editor THOMAS G. DONLAN receives e-mail at tg.donlan@barrons.com 8/1/2009: The point is that there is no health care model, whether privately or publicly financed, that can offer unlimited access to medical services while containing costs. Ultimately, such a model arrives at a crossroads where it has to either limit access in an arbitrary way, or face uncontrolled cost increases. —
Shikha Dalmia, “The Myth of Free Market Health Care in
America” |
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Dale F. Ogden & Associates
Actuaries & Management
Consultants
www.usactuary.com
Dale F. Ogden, Libertarian, for
California Insurance Commissioner,
2006
www.dalefogden.org
Dale F. Ogden, Libertarian, for
California State Senate, 2004
Dale F. Ogden, Libertarian, for
California Insurance Commissioner,
2002
Dale F. Ogden, Libertarian, for
California State Assembly,
2000
Dale F. Ogden, Libertarian, for
California Insurance
Commissioner, 1998